2017 Turkish Airlines Open

2017 Turkish Airlines Open Fantasy Golf

 

THE COURSE

Regnum Carya Golf Resort and Spa – The Regnum Carya Golf Resort and Spa is a massive facility (hotel, spa, golf course, pools, beach, etc.) that seems to be one of Turkey’s newest crown jewels. Built on white sand hills, and over-looking the Mediterranean Sea, the course is a 7,127-yard, par 71, with pine-forest-lined fairways and enough heather and bunkering to appear quite intimidating. In addition, the greens here are large, undulating, and fast, and feature multiple tiers, meaning that most of the green complexes contain “greens within greens.”  And while all of that sounds impressive, Thorbjorn Olesen won here with an aggregate of 20 under last year, so expect the scores to be low.

Most descriptions of the track say that position in the fairway off of the tee is vital to getting good approaches, so Driving Accuracy, last year’s course history, and recent form are going to be the keys to determining our picks. Strokes Gained Approach and strong putting should be considered as well.

 

PAST WINNERS

(Only 2016 was also played at Carya Golf Club)

2016  – 20  Thorbjorn Olesen    (Runners Up:  – 17  David Horsey, Hao Tong Li)

(Played at Montgomerie Maxx Royal)

2015  – 22  Victor Dubuisson   (Runner Up:  – 21  Jaco Van Zyl)

2014  – 17  Brooks Koepka   (Runner Up:  – 16  Ian Poulter)

2013  – 24  Victor Dubuisson   (Runner Up:  – 22  Jamie Donaldson)

ODDS    (Bovada 10/30/2017)

Justin Rose  +750

Henrik Stenson  +800

Tyrrell Hatton  +1100

Matthew Fitzpatrick  +1600

Tommy Fleetwood +2000

Bernd Weisberger  +2500

George Coetzee  +2800

David Horsey  +3000

Joost Luiten  +3000

Shane Lowry  +3000

Kiradech Aphibarnrat  +3500

Peter Uihlein  +3500

Soren Kjeldsen  +3500

Eddie Pepperell  +4000

Ian Poulter  +4000

Paul Dunne  +4000

Thorbjorn Olesen  +4000

 

WHO’S HOT

Justin Rose  +750

Tyrrell Hatton  +1100

Kiradech Aphibarnrat  +3500

Eddie Pepperell  +4000

Marc Warren  +4500

Matthew Fitzpatrick  +1600

 

HORSES FOR THE COURSE

(The top 5 from 2016)

Thorbjorn Olesen

David Horsey

Hao Tong Li

Bernd Wiesberger

George Coetzee

 

LONGER SHOTS

Alexander Levy  +4500

Marc Warren  +4500

Hao Tong Li  +6000

Nino Bertasio  +6000

Thomas Pieters  +6600

Nicolas Colsaerts  +8000

Robert Rock  +10000

Jordan Smith  +10000

Adrian Otaegui  +14000

Haydn Porteous  +16000

Edoardo Molinari  +40000

 

FAITHFULS

Henrik Stenson  +800

Martin Kaymer  +5000

Andy Sullivan  +5500

Lee Westwood  +6000

Robert Rock  +10000

 

WHO WE LIKE

Kiradech Aphibarnrat – Yes, Justin Rose just won last week, and we agree he is the best pick. Hatton and Luiten are also playing well and will be looking to win this week. However, The Barn Rat has looked very good recently (finished T2 in Italy two weeks ago), and we can’t think of reason why he won’t be in contention this week. The Big Thai Man may go to town on this track, and at 35 to 1, we will be putting money on him.

Eddie Pepperell & Marc Warren – We are riding the hot hands in the mid-tier this week. Pepperell is one of the hottest golfers in the world right now. He played well in the Czech Masters. He played well in the Portugal Masters. He played well in England. He played well in Italy. We expect him to do well here in Turkey. Marc Warren is also on fire. In his last four starts, his worst finish is a T15 (that includes 2nd at the Portugal Masters and T4 at the Alfred Dunhill Championship).

Nino Bertasio –  Another currently hot hand on the Euro Tour, Bertasio has everything he needs to shine this week. And, although Bertasio has been playing well, other names such as Hao Tong Li, Thomas Pieters, and Robert Rock had us looking really hard at them for this tournament. (Note: odds-wise, Haydn Porteous and Adrian Otaegui are steals this week).

 

GAVIN’S PICKS

Henrik Stenson

Eddie Pepperrell

Haydn Porteous

 

JOHN’S PICKS

George Coetzee

Nino Bertasio

Austin Connelly