2017 WGC-HSBC Champions

Fantasy Golf Picks for the 2017 WGC HSBC Champions

 

THE COURSE

Often cited as one of the best golf courses in all of China, Sheshan International Club features “deep valleys and rolling hills, combined with a large amount of trees and large spans of water.” This week the par-72 track will be playing 7,266 yards and will be an absolute birdie fest (expect the winning score to be south of 20 under). Driving Accuracy, Birdies or Better, GIR, and GIR Putting have been the stats that have produced past champions here, so those are the metrics we will be focusing on.

 

PAST WINNERS

2016   -23  Hideki Matsuyama   (Runners Up:  -16  Daniel Berger and Henrik Stenson)

2015   -20  Russell Knox   (Runner Up:  -18  Kevin Kisner)

2014  -11  Bubba Watson   (Runner Up:  -11  Tim Clark)

2013  -24  Dustin Johnson  (Runner Up:  -21  Ian Poulter)

ODDS   ( Bovada 10/23/2017 )

Dustin Johnson  +800

Hideki Matsuyama  +1000

Jason Day  +1600

Jon Rahm  +1600

Marc Leishman  +1600

Brooks Koepka  +1800

Justin Rose  +2000

Paul Casey  +2200

Tyrell Hatton  +2500

Ross Fisher  +2500

Henrik Stenson  +2800

Patrick Reed  +3000

Xander Schauffele  +3000

Francesco Molinari  +3300

Matthew Fitzpatrick  +3300

Tommy Fleetwood  +3300

Pat Perez  +3500

 

WHO’S HOT   (PGA & EURO)

Tyrrell Hatton  +2500

Pat Perez  +3500

Marc Leishman  +1600

Xander Schauffele  +3000

Paul Casey  +2200

Tony Finau  +3500

 

HORSES FOR THE COURSE

Hideki Matsuyama  +1000

Daniel Berger  +4000

Marc Leishman  +1600

Francesco Molinari  +3300

Dustin Johnson  +800

Matthew Fitzpatrick  +3300

Ross Fisher  +2500

Thomas Pieters  +6600

 

LONGER SHOTS

Patrick Reed  +3000

Alex Noren  +5000

Kiradech Aphibarnrat  +6600

Paul Dunne  +8000

Peter Uihlein  +8000

Scott Hend  +175000

 

FAITHFULS

Adam Scott  +4500

Branden Grace  +5000

 

WHO WE LIKE

Marc Leishman – Admittedly, Dustin Johnson and Hideki Matsuyama are the favorites to win this week, but their odds are just too small and this writer cannot bring himself to use one of those names so early on in the year for a One-N-Done pick (even though Matsuyama has already been named the Power Pick this week in our league).

So, we are going with Leishman. He almost the beat the current best-golfer-on-the-planet Justin Thomas last week at Nine Bridges and has been playing SUPER SOLID golf ever since his win at the Arnold Palmer Invitational last March. We’ll be looking at Leishman to be near the top of the leaderboard at the end of Sunday.

Pat Perez & Bill Haas – We are going to ride the recent form of Perez this week. In his past 5 starts he hasn’t finished worse than T12 and his win at the CIMB Classic was super impressive (you’ve got to love his press conferences, too). Haas is definitely an outside-the-box pick that we might get mocked for, but he finished T4 here last year and loves to show up for WGC events. He is way down the board odds-wise (66/1) and while there are a number of other excellent picks in this talent-heavy field, we expect Haas to fly under the preview radar and have a high finish.  (Adam Scott, Tommy Fleetwood, and Chez Reavie were also contenders for these spots).

Paul Dunne –  The young Irishman has been considered one of the hottest players on the European Tour over the past several weeks, which includes his win at the British Masters earlier this month. Watch out for this man. (Other names that also made this spot: Peter Uihlein, Thomas Pieters, Adam Hadwin, Richie Ramsay).

 

Gavin’s Picks

Top Tier – Ross Fisher

Mid-Tier – Patrick Reed & Tyrell Hatton

High-Odds – Hao Tong Li

 

John’s Picks

Top Tier – Ross Fisher

Mid-Tier – Francesco Molinari & Thorbjorn Olesen

High-Odds – Hao Tong Li

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