2018 Australian PGA Championship

Fantasy Golf Picks for the 2018 Australian PGA Championship

 

THE COURSE

RACV Royal Pines Resort – The RACV Royal Pines Resort course is a beast and this week will be a hot one. The track, which is set along the tropically lush Gold Coast, is playing as a 7,364-yard par 72. There’s a ton of bunkering around the layout, but it is a resort course and the players should be able to score.

The Australian PGA Championship is a favorite of Aussie golfers and this week’s field is an exciting one. For our selection, we’ll be looking at the last four years of course history, Aussie pros, and recent form.

 

PAST WINNERS

2017  – 19  Harold Varner III   (Runner Up:  – 17   Andrew Dodt)

2016  Even  Nathan Holman   (Runners Up, Playoff:  Even    Dylan Fritelli, Harold Varner III)

2015  – 11  Greg Chalmers   (Runners Up, Playoff:  – 11  Wade Ormsby, Adam Scott)

2014  – 14  Adam Scott   (Runner Up:  – 10  Rickie Fowler)

ODDS    (Bovada 11/27/2017)

Marc Leishman   +600

Sergio Garcia  +700

Cameron Smith  +750

Adam Scott  +800

Matt Jones  +2000

Harold Varner III  +2500

Jonas Blixt  +2500

Wade Ormsby  +2800

Brett Rumford  +3300

Jason Scrivener  +3300

Kramer Hickok  +3300

Lucas Herbert  +3300

Ryan Fox  +3300

Curtis Luck +3500

Michael Hendry  +4500

Rhein Gibson  +4500

 

WHO’S HOT

Wade Ormsby

Cameron Smith

Sergio Garcia

Jonas Blixt

Jason Scrivener

Thomas Detry

Joakim Lagergren

 

HORSES FOR THE COURSE

Harold Varner III

Adam Scott

Andrew Dodt

Brett Rumford

Ryan Fox

Cameron Smith

 

LONGER SHOTS

Michael Sim   +5500

Thomas Detry   +5500

Andrew Dodt   +6600

Joakim Lagergren   +6600

Mikko Ilonen   +6600

Talor Gooch   +7000

Greg Chalmers  +8000

Robert Karlsson   +10000

Garrick Porteous   +20000

Duncan Stewart   +25000

Lasse Jensen   +25000

Nathan Holman   +25000

 

FAITHFULS

Rod Pampling

Adam Scott

Greg Chalmers

Sam Brazel

Daniel Nisbet

 

WHO WE LIKE

Cameron Smith.  An Aussie player who has been seriously competing over the past six weeks. T5 at the CIMB, 3rd at the CJ Cup, and 4th last week at the Emirates Australian Open. He’s got all the game, and even with the big names showing up this week, he’s got a good shot at having his name high on the board come Sunday.

Rhein Gibson & Thomas Detry. Rhein Gibson has strong course history and he’s an Aussie. He likes it here, will be comfortable, and knows he can score. Detry is coming off of a T10 finish in Hong Kong last week and has to be feeling good. When the young Belgian is on, he is great. Accuracy, length, and can get hot with the putter. All gravy.  (We also like Joakim Lagergren and Ryan Fox in this range).

Ashley Hall. We are going strictly off of his last two starts at this event. T28 in 2016 and 4th last year. His last start in a Euro event he cashed in at 74th place in the WGC-HSBC. Not great, but that is a tough event. At 90/1 the value seems fair. Maybe the 8/1 top ten is more appealing. (125/1 Dimitros Papadatos and 200/1  Garrick Porteous also look fun at such high odds).