2018 BMW South Africa Open

Fantasy Golf Picks and Betting Odds for the 2018 BMW SA Open

 

THE OVERVIEW

Glendower Golf Club, Johannesburg, South Africa – The Glendower course in Johannesburg is a flat, parkland layout with a ton of water in play. It measures a lengthy-on-paper 7,594 yards; however, that number is deceiving as the altitude will make it play quite a bit shorter.

There’s a great video by The Sunshine Tour that details the course setup. That video makes a point of detailing that the staff is intending the rough to be more penalizing this week than in year’s past. That will put a premium on accuracy off of the tee.

Like most other pro golf events played on South African soil, expect the local contingent to dominate the leaderboard. However, don’t completely discount the extremely-talented foreign players traveling here this week.

When making picks this week, we’ll be looking closely at Driving Accuracy, GIR, putting, South African players, course history, and recent form.

 

PAST WINNERS

2017  – 18   Graeme Storm   (Runner Up, Playoff:   Rory McIlroy)

2016  – 14  Brandon Stone    (Runner Up:   -12  Christian Bezuidenhout)

2015  – 11  Andy Sullivan   (Runner Up, Playoff:   Charl Schwartzel)

2014  – 19  Morten Orum Madsen   (Runners Up:  -17   Jbe Kruger & Hennie Otto)

THE ODDS    (Bovada 1/8/2018)

Branden Grace  +600

Charl Schwartzel  +650

Dylan Fritelli  +1600

Dean Burmester  +2200

Soren Kjeldsen  +2500

George Coetzee  +2500

Jordan Smith  +2500

Matthieu Pavon  +3300

Shaun Norris  +3300

Chris Wood  +3300

Marc Warren  +4000

Andy Sullivan  +4000

James Morrison  +4000

Richard Sterne  +4000

Erik Van Rooyen  _4000

Nacho Elvira  +5000

Haydn Porteous  +5000

Jason Scrivener  +5000

Jamie Donaldson  +5000

Lucas Bjerregaard  +5000

Matt Wallace  +5000

Thomas Aiken  +5000

Clement Sordet  +5500

Darren Fichardt  +6000

 

WHO’S HOT

Dylan Fritelli

Dean Burmester

Matthieu PAvon

Erik Van Rooyen

Branden Grace

Shaun Norris

 

HORSES FOR THE COURSE

Dean Burmester

Graeme Storm

Brandon Stone

Thomas Aiken

Branden Grace

Keith Horne

Trevor Fisher

James Morrison

Jaco Van Zyl

 

LONGER SHOTS

Brandon Stone  +6600

Graeme Storm  +6600

Thomas Detry  +6600

Trevor Fisher  +8000

Gregory Bourdy  +8000

Richard Bland  +8000

Jbe Kruger  +10000

Justin Walters  +10000

Keith Horne  +10000

Renato Paratore  +10000

Tapio Pulkkanen  +10000

Jinho Choi  +12500

Edoardo Molinari  +12500

 

FAITHFULS

Branden Grace

Charl Schwartzel

Andy Sullivan

Jamie Donaldson

Retief Goosen

THE ‘FORE’ SOMES

‘FORE’ SOMES are chosen by selecting one player from a “low tier” betting pool (30:1 or better), two players from a “mid tier” (30:1 – 75:1), and a final player from a “high tier” (75:1 & up).  

KEITH’S ‘FORE’ SOME 

Dylan Fritelli  (16:1).  Fritelli has just been too hot of late. 2nd in Turkey, 4th in Dubai, 16th in Hong Kong, and 1st in Mauritius. Over the past six events he’s only finished outside the top 20 twice. During that time he has been throwing darts with his irons. It looks like the greens this week are smaller than average and soft from recent rain. That should allow the South African to really go pin seeking.

Erik Van Rooyen (40:1) & James Morrison (33:1).  Van Rooyen won on the Challenge Tour back in October and finished second at the Joburg Open last month. The young South African’s game is trending upward and we especially like the odds on him this week. Morrison has had a couple strong finishes recently as well. His T10 in Hong Kong was impressive (shooting 68, 68 on the weekend at a tough track). We were on him for the Mauritius where he slipped, but he came back with a T6 at the Joburg. We like him to continue his strong play here this week.

Trevor Fisher Jr. (80:1). Fisher earns this spot solely on his course history. The South African has had four consecutive solid finishes at Glendower, T5 in 2017, T8 in 2016, T15 in 2015, and T7 in 2014. A better horse for any course would be hard to find. (A lot of great names at this range to like: Gregory Bourdy, Jbe Kruger, Justin Walters, Tapio Pulkkanen, Eduoardo Molinari, etc.)

JOHN’S ‘FORE’ SOME 

Brendan Grace  (6:1)

Shaun Norris  (33:1)

Haydn Porteous  (50:1)

Hennie Du Plessis  (150:1)

 

GAVIN’S ‘FORE’ SOME 

Dean Burmester  (22:1)

Thomas Detry  (66:1)

Richard Bland  (80:1)

Oliver Bekker  (125:1)

 

Listen to this week’s podcast to hear the team’s thoughts on the event and tweet us @fantasygolfww or #fgww.

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