THE OVERVIEW

Walton Heath Golf Club, Surrey, England – This year’s British Masters will be hosted by FedEx Cup Winner Justin Rose at The Walton Heath Golf Club in Southern England. Walton Heath consists of two 18-hole layouts, The Old Course and The New Course.

Dave Tindall on Rotoworld wrote that the players will be playing both courses this week, but I wasn’t able to verify that anywhere. And the European Tour website only lists the information for The Old Course. So forgive me if there is some ambiguity here on my part. There is little to no info on the New Course available, but The Old Course is a highly-regarded track with significant history. It is a former Ryder Cup host has been the site of European U.S. Open qualifying since 2005. So, if you wish, you can dig into some course history stats there.

This week The Old Course will play as a 7,400 yard, par 72 and the New Course will play as a 7,000 yard, par 72. Both courses were designed by Herbert Fowler and frequently rank among the top 100 courses in the world. The Old Course features heather-lined fairways, nasty deep bunkers, and fast, tricky greens. It is narrowish and winding and will have a links feel to it.

This week while making players picks, I’ll be looking at current form, course familiarity, SG: Approach, and Driving Accuracy.

 

PAST WINNERS

2017  -20   Paul Dunne   (Runner Up:    -17   Rory Mcilroy)  @ Close House GC

2016  -18   Alex Noren    (Runner Up:    -16   Bernd Wiesberger)  @ The Grove

2015  -15   Matthew Fitzpatrick   (Runners Up:    -13   Soren Kjeldsen, Shane Lowry, Fabrizio Zanotti)  @ Woburn G & CC

 

BETTING ODDS   (Bovada 10/8/2018)

Justin Rose  +700

Tommy Fleetwood  +900

Matthew Fitzpatrick  +2200

Shane Lowry  +2200

Thorbjorn Olesen  +2500

Lucas Bjerregaard  +2500

Charl Schwartzel  +2800

Eddie Pepperell  +2800

Andy Sullivan  +3300

Chris Wood  +3300

Hao Tong Li  +3300

Matt Wallace  +3300

Lee Westwood  +4000

Ross Fisher  +4000

Ryan Fox  +4000

Tom Lewis  +4500

Andrea Pavan  +5000

Jordan Smith  +5000

Lucas Herbert  +5000

Brandon Stone  +5500

Erik Van Rooyen  +5500

Julian Suri  +5500

Padraig Harrington  +5500

Soren Kjeldsen  +5500

Martin Kaymer  +6600

Thomas Detry  +6600

 

HOT PLAYERS

Lucas Bjerregaard

Tommy Fleetwood

Tom Lewis

Eddie Pepperell

Matt Wallace

Lucas Herbert

 

HORSES FOR THE COURSE

Insufficient data. Although there are U.S. Qualifying results at Walton Heath to consider. 

 

LONGER SHOTS

Alexander Levy  +7000

Andrew Johnston  +7000

Robert Rock  +7000

Marcus Kinhult  +7500

Nacho Elvira  +7500

Richard Sterne  +7500

Alexander Bjork  +8000

Harold Varner III  +8000

Mikko Korhonen  +8000

Paul Dunne  +8000

Benjamin Hebert  +9000

Danny Willett  +9000

George Coetzee  +9000

Hideto Tanihara  +9000

Matthew Southgate  +9000

Stephen Gallacher  +9000

Adrian Otaegui  +10000

Ashley Chesters  +10000

Jason Scrivener  +10000

Mattthias Schwab  +10000

Nicolas Colsaerts  +10000

Nino Bertasio  +10000

Bradley Dredge  +12500

Haydn Porteous  +12500

Jeunghun Wang  +12500

Matthieu Pavon  +12500

Oliver Fisher  +12500

Pablo Larrazabal  +12500

Richie Ramsay  +12500

Aaron Rai  +15000

Callum Shinkwin  +15000

Darren Fichardt  +15000

David Drysdale  +15000

David Horsey  +15000

Dean Burmester  +15000

Gavin Green  +15000

Julien Guerrier  +!5000

Lee Slattery  +!5000

Maximilian Kieffer  +15000

Phachara Khongwatmai  +15000

James Morrison  +20000

 

FAITHFULS

Tommy Fleetwood

Matthew Fitzpatrick

Shane Lowry

Eddie Pepperell

Lee Westwood

Padraig Harrington

 

GOLF PICKS

THE 'FORE' SOMES

'FORE' SOMES are chosen by selecting one player from a "low tier" betting pool (30:1 or better), two players from a "mid tier" (30:1 - 75:1), and a final player from a "high tier" (75:1 & up).  

KEITH'S 'FORE' SOME 

Eddie Pepperell  (28:1).  I really like Tommy Fleetwood as a favorite to win this one, actually. But 9:1 is not attractive enough for me, so I’m taking my second favorite here at more than three times the value.

Eddie Pepperell has been on a strong streak of late with three top tens in his last five starts, including his T2 at the Portugal Masters. Add to that his familiarity with Walton Heath (having passed the U.S. Open Qualifying here in 2017) and the fact that he lives in nearby Oxfordshire... and I am sold. Give me the 27-year-old Englishman at 28:1.

Hao Tong Li  (33:1)  &  Brandon Stone  (55:1).  I was ready to take Hao Tong Li before I saw that Ben Coley also favored him this week. After that, I knew no more thought had to be done. So, for my first mid-tier pick, give me Hao Tong at 33:1. He has been seriously trending upward, tends to play well in England, and finished second here in the 2017 U.S. Open Qualifying.

I very nearly took Beef in this second spot due to his three straight years of qualifying at this Old Course, but ultimately fell on Brandon Stone for the second straight week. I don’t particularly like the 55 number (after all we got him at 80 just last week), but the young South African is in excellent form. He’s made six straight cuts, won the Scottish Open, finished T12 at the U.S. PGA Championship, and got a T10 last week. I’m going to stay on the 25-year-old South African for another week. That said, Ryan Fox, Tom Lewis, Andrea Pavan, and Jordan Smith all between 40 and 50 to one would all be good picks, too.

Jason Scrivener  (100:1).  I very nearly took Paul Dunne in this spot, but his current form is just too off at the moment. Instead, I’ll be taking Jason Scrivener at 100:1.

Three top 20s and five made cuts in his last six starts. There’s something quietly special brewing with this 29-year-old Aussie. He’s currently 3% than the field in driving accuracy and gains nearly a whole stroke on approach. Add to that his US qualifying here earlier this year and I think the 100 number starts to look very interesting.

Some of the other names to consider in this range: Aaron Rai, Richie Ramsay, Matthias Schwab, Matthew Southgate, and Matthieu Pavon.

 

 

Listen to this week’s podcast to hear the team’s thoughts on the event and tweet us @fantasygolfww or #fgww.

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