2018 UBS Hong Kong Open

2017 UBS Hong Kong Open Fantasy Golf Picks and Betting Odds

 

THE COURSE

Hong Kong Golf Club – This week the European Tour is kicking off their 2018 season by moving back to China, where The Hong Kong Golf Club in Fanling is playing as a par-70 and measures only 6,710 yards. Traditionally a ball striker’s track, the course features tree-lined fairways with relatively narrow landing areas. So, many of the longer hitters will be forced to leave their drivers in the bag. In the past, windy conditions have caused some trouble, but so far the forecast doesn’t look like it will be a factor this year.

In selecting players we like this week, we’ll be looking at strong iron players. Greens in Regulation, Driving Accuracy, Course History, and Current Form are going to weigh heavily.

 

PAST WINNERS

2017  – 13  Sam Brazel   (Runner Up:  – 12   Rafael Cabrera Bello)

2016  – 17  Justin Rose   (Runner Up:  – 16   Lucas Bjerregaard)

2015  – 13  Scott Hend   (Runners Up, Playoff:  – 13  Angelo Que)

2014  – 12  Miguel Angel Jimenez   (Runner Up, Playoff:  – 12  Stuart Manley, Prom Meesawat)

ODDS    (Bovada 11/20/2017)

Justin Rose   +450

Sergio Garcia   +650

Matthew Fitzpatrick  +1000

Tommy Fleetwood +1400

Rafael Cabrera Bello +1800

Kiradech Aphibarnrat  +2500

Dylan Frittelli  +2800

Hao Tong Li +2800

Julian Suri +3300

Paul Dunne  +3300

Jamie Donaldson  +4000

David Lipsky  +4500

Gavin Green  +5500

Aaron Rai  +5500

Alexander Bjork +6600

Marcus Fraser +6600

 

WHO’S HOT

Justin Rose

Kiradech Aphibarnrat

Dylan Fritelli

Tommy Fleetwood

Paul Dunne

Julian Suri

 

HORSES FOR THE COURSE

David Lipsky

Scott Hend

Miguel Angel Jimenez

Sam Brazel

Marcus Fraser

 

LONGER SHOTS

Ashun Wu   +6600

Prom Meesawat   +7000

Thongchai Jaidee   +7000

Harold Varner  +7500

Alejandro Canizares  +8000

Gregory Bourdy   +8000

Jeunghun Wang   +8000

Hideto Tanihara  +10000

Robert Rock  +10000

Scott Hend  +10000

Thomas Detry  +10000

Soo Min Lee  +15000

Sam Brazel  +17500

Poom Saksansin  +20000

 

FAITHFULS

Jamie Donaldson

Marcus Fraser

Thongchai Jaidee

Miguel Angel Jimenez

 

WHO WE LIKE

Sergio Garcia.  Another tough choice this week at the top of the big names list. Rose won here in 2015 and has been playing the best golf in the world for the past few weeks. Fleetwood and Cabrera Bello also fit the course nicely (with Rafa finishing second here last year). Even Dylan Fritelli and Hao Tong Li are tempting; both have shown some really good form of late. However, on tracks like this where experience, discipline, and some well placed irons off of the tees will set up players for success. Sergio Garcia is the name that stands out the most.

David Lipsky & Gavin Green.  In this mid-odds range we are both going with one safe pick and one that’s a bit out of the box. David Lipsky checks the Course History box in a big way here. He also has a real fondness for the course. Lipsky is a player to watch this week. Gavin Kyle Green has shown some real fire on the Asian Tour in only a few starts. He also put up really low rounds at the CIMB and CJ Cup back in October. He is erratic, but the kid can really play. (It must be said that it kind of bothers us that we are not taking either Julian Suri or Paul Dunne here; both are solid picks).

Gregory Bourdy.  So many names to choose from in the high-odds range. We are again going with experience and discipline. Gregory Bourdy has shown some good form of late. And it doesn’t hurt that he has won here before. (Jeunghun Wang, Joakim Lagergren, Robert Rock, Scott Hend, Soo Min Lee are also all great names in this range).