2018 Volvo China Open

2018 Volvo China Open

 

THE OVERVIEW

Topwin Golf & Country Club, Beijing, China – The picturesque Topwin Golf & Country Club is a 7,261-yard, par 72 set in the mountains outside of Beijing. The Ian Woosnam-design features tons of water and large undulating greens. It should make for gorgeous television viewing and some low scores.

For the model this week, FGWW is going to be looking at course history, current form, SG T2G, and SG Putting.

 

PAST WINNERS

2017   -17   Alexander Levy    (Runner Up, Playoff:   Dylan Frittelli)

2016   -22   Hao Tong Li    (Runner Up:   -19   Felipe Aguilar)

2015   -9   Ashun Wu    (Runner Up:   -8   David Howell)

2014   -19   Alexander Levy    (Runner Up:   -15   Tommy Fleetwood)

 

THE ODDS    (Bovada 4/23/2018)

Alexander Levy  +900

Haotong Li  +1400

Kiradech Aphibarnrat  +1400

Bernd Wiesberger  +1500

Joost Luiten  +1500

Julian Suri  +2000

Paul Dunne  +2000

Shubhankar Sharma  +2500

Seungsu Han  +2800

Pablo Larrazabal  +3300

Jorge Campillo  +3500

Alexander Bjork: +4000

Thorbjorn Olesen  +4000

Jeunghun Wang  +4500

Nacho Elvira  +4500

Aaron Rai  +5000

Hideto Tanihara  +5000

Thomas Detry  +5000

Adrian Otaegui  +5500

Erik Van Rooyen  +5500

Callum Shinkwin  +6000

Renato Paratore +6000

 

WHO’S HOT

Alexander Levy

Paul Dunne

Erik Van Rooyen

Nacho Elvira

Seungsu Han

 

HORSES FOR THE COURSE

Alexander Levy

Hao Tong Li

Bernd Weisberger

Romain Wattel

Ashun Wu

Benjamin Hebert

 

LONGER SHOTS

Mikko Ilonen +7000

Romain Wattel +7000

Jordan Smith +7500

Matt Wallace +7500

Brandon Stone +8000

David Lipsky +8000

Dean Burmester +8000

Ryan Fox +8000

Sam Horsfield +8000

Alvaro Quiros +9000

Maximilian Kieffer +9000

Ashun Wu +10000

Matthieu Pavon +10000

Nicolas Colsaerts +10000

Shaun Norris +10000

Joakim Lagergren +11000

Marc Warren +11000

Chris Hanson +12500

Haydn Porteous +12500

Scott Vincent +12500

Wade Ormsby +12500

Julien Guerrier +14000

Marcus Kinhult +14000

Phachara Khongwatmai +14000

S S P Chowrasia +14000

Scott Jamieson +14000

Austin Connelly +15000

Brett Rumford +15000

Gavin Green +15000

Jason Scrivener +15000

Marcus Fraser +15000

Nino Bertasio +15000

Oliver Fisher +15000

Scott Hend +15000

Tapio Pulkkanen +15000

Gaganjeet Bhullar +17500

Gregory Bourdy +17500

Matteo Manassero +17500

Adilson Da Silva +20000

Andrew Dodt +20000

Arjun Atwal +20000

Benjamin Hebert +20000

Gregory Havret +20000

James Morrison +20000

Jazz Janewattananond +20000

Lucas Bjerregaard +20000

Lucas Herbert +20000

Poom Saksansin +20000

Edoardo Molinari +22500

Clement Sordet +25000

Daniel Nisbet +25000

Masahiro Kawamura +25000

Micah Lauren Shin +25000

Nicholas Fung +25000

Richard Bland +25000

Soomin Lee +25000

Hyun-Woo Ryu +27500

Jinho Choi +27500

Thongchai Jaidee +27500

Lasse Jensen +30000

Rattanon Wannasrichan +30000

 

FAITHFULS

Alexander Levy

Joost Luiten

Bernd Weisberger

Mikko Ilonen

 

THE ‘FORE’ SOMES

‘FORE’ SOMES are chosen by selecting one player from a “low tier” betting pool (30:1 or better), two players from a “mid tier” (30:1 – 75:1), and a final player from a “high tier” (75:1 & up).  

KEITH’S ‘FORE’ SOME 

Hao Tong Li  (14:1).  Hao Tong Li has already had a monster year. He played extremely well in the EurAsia Cup and went on to defeat world-crowned Rory McIlroy in a gutsy performance in Dubai. He launched into the OWGR top 50 and even led the Masters for about 15 minutes during round two. The young Chinese star’s confidence has to be absolutely through the roof at the moment. Add to that his return to China, and I can only see good things happening. Also, won’t be making the long trip from either Morocco or Texas.

Seungsu Han  (33:1) & Benjamin Hebert (50:1).  Cannot avoid the chalk at this range this week. Seungsu Han, the young upstart from UNLV, has been pouncing all over the globe and cashing check after check in recent months. One has to go back to early 2017 on the Japan Tour to find his last missed cut. Currently ranked 88th in the OWGR and climbing. Benjamin Hebert has had a quietly solid season so far raking in five top 20 finishes this season, which includes a strong T9 at the NBO Oman Open. He also likes this particular event: T13 in 2017, T21 in 2016, and T18 in 2015. Not great odds to take down the whole tourney, but a sneaky good top 10 or top 20 play.

Joakim Lagergren (100:1).  Jordan Smith and Maximillian Kieffer are probably the better picks in this range, but this writer is going with his gut. After a long series of missed cuts, Lagergren popped out of nowhere last week with an impressive T3 finish. The Swede came into the season with good-looking form and it just got away from him. His performance last week suggests he has some mojo back, and if he does, this guy can play.

 

**(differing odds come from Will Hill)

 

JOHN’S ‘FORE’ SOME 

Thorbjorn Olesen  28:1

Erik Van Rooyen  40:1

Adrian Otaegui  55:1

Julien Guerrier  150:1

 

GAVIN’S ‘FORE’ SOME 

Hao Tong Li  14:1

Alexander Bjork  33:1

Benjamin Hebert  40:1

Scott Hend  150:1

 

Listen to this week’s podcast to hear the team’s thoughts on the event and tweet us @fantasygolfww or #fgww.

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