THE OVERVIEW

Aronimink Golf Club, Newton Square, Pennsylvania  - The FedEx Playoffs move on to round three in Pennsylvania. The top 70 remaining players tee it up this week to decide who will be the final 30 moving on to play in the Tour Championship at East Lake. The pressure will no doubt provide plenty of spectacle and entertainment.

Aronimink Golf Club is a much-storied track that is highly regarded as one of the greatest (and toughest) in America. Originally, a traditional parkland design by Donald Ross, the course was renovated earlier this year to what is believed to be a purer version of its earliest form. Gil Hanse oversaw the renovations which enlarged the greens to their original dimensions, widened fairways, and rebuilt teeing grounds. The number of bunkers also increased from 74 to 176, although the "total area of hazards isn't much greater." Which implies that the potential for awkward, and potentially disastrous, lies is much greater.

The course this week will play as a 7,237-yard par 70. It features tree-lined fairways, significant elevation changes, tough rough, a lot of strategically-placed bunkers, and large, well-protected, undulating bentgrass greens. Position off of the tee will be crucial to having the best angles on approach and setting up birdie opportunities.

For the model this week we'll be going with current form, GIR, and Driving Accuracy.

 

PAST WINNERS

2017  -23   Marc Leishman    (Runners Up :    -18   Rickie Fowler, Justin Rose)   @ Conway Farms Golf Club

2016   -23   Dustin Johnson   (Runner Up:   -20   Paul Casey)   @ Crooked Stick Golf Club    

2015  -22   Jason Day    (Runner Up:   -16   Daniel Berger)   @ Conway Farms Golf Club

 

BETTING ODDS   (Bovada 9/4/2018)

Dustin Johnson   +900

Justin Thomas   +1400

Brooks Koepka   +1400

Justin Rose  +1200

Rory McIlroy   +1600

Bryson DeChambeau  +1600

Tony Finau  +2000

Jordan Spieth   +2200

Tiger Woods   +2500

Hideki Matsuyama  +2500

Rickie Fowler  +2500

Francesco Molinari  +2800

Tommy Fleetwood  +3000

Jon Rahm   +3300

Adam Scott  +3300

Patrick Cantlay  +3500

Phil Mickelson  +4000

Cameron Smith  +4500

Tyrrell Hatton  +5000

Webb Simpson  +5000

Marc Leishman  +5500

Henrik Stenson  +5500

Rafa Cabrera Bello  +5500

Patrick Reed   +5500

Paul Casey  +6000

Billy Horschel   +6000

Brandt Snedeker  +6600

Bubba Watson  +6600

Kyle Stanley  +6600

 

HOT PLAYERS

Bryson DeChambeau

Tony Finau

Cameron Smith

Brooks Koepka

Justin Thomas

Justin Rose

 

HORSES FOR THE COURSE

Insufficient course history.

 

LONGER SHOTS

Louis Oosthuizen  +8000

Emiliano Grillo  +9000

Zach Johnson  +9000

Ian Poulter  +10000

Xander Schauffele  +10000

Aaron Wise  +10000

Daniel Berger  +10000

Kevin Kisner  +10000

C.T. Pan  +11000

Alex Noren  +11000

Adam Hadwin  +11000

Kevin Na  +11000

Abraham Ancer  +12500

Byeong Hun An  +14000

Keegan Bradley  +14000

Luke List  +15000

Peter Uihlein  +16000

Beau Hossler  +16000

 

FAITHFULS

Justin Thomas

Justin Rose

Tiger Woods

Francesco Molinari

Marc Leishman

 

THE 'FORE' SOMES

'FORE' SOMES are chosen by selecting one player from a "low tier" betting pool (30:1 or better), two players from a "mid tier" (30:1 - 75:1), and a final player from a "high tier" (75:1 & up).  

KEITH'S 'FORE' SOME 

Tommy Fleetwood  (30:1).  We really like the value here. Tommy Fleewood is absolutely money off the tee, which should serve him well this week. This writer also believes the long-haired Brit is due for another big PGA finish. The bigger the stakes the better he plays. And, this track is going to be new for everyone this week, so the stateside pros won’t have the advantage of course knowledge. That reasoning could also point to Ty Hatton having another good week.

Cameron Smith  (45:1)  &  Tyrrell Hatton  (50:1).  Cameron Smith is too fire at the moment to pass on at 45:1. Back-to-Back top fives. Playing spectacular golf right now. The iron he hit into the par-3 16th on Sunday was so pure. He held his finish and the camera caught the glint in his eye. He was SO DIALED IN. Stuck it to 12 feet and drained the putt dead center. He’s a fucking animal. So young and full of talent. Not even close to peak potential yet. So fun to watch.

I really wanted to take Rafa here, then I penciled in Webby, but ultimately I have to go with my gut and it is telling me to take Tyrrell Hatton. Even though his Friday 63 last week was the result of a few lucky breaks, it was still an absolutely fire round. And the TV coverage ate him up. He’s so charismatic and full of piss and vinegar. And when his game gets hot, he can go so low. The track this week is a little tougher and Hatton tends to flourish on tougher tracks.

Aaron Wise  (100:1).  Nothing much to say here. The NCAA Champ and Oregon Duck has what it takes to win from this range. A long shot, but worth it. 

 

**(differing odds come from Will Hill)

 

JOHN'S 'FORE' SOME 

n/a

 

GAVIN'S 'FORE' SOME 

n/a

 

Listen to this week’s podcast to hear the team’s thoughts on the event and tweet us @fantasygolfww or #fgww.

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