2018 Career Builder Challenge

Fantasy Golf Picks and betting odds for the 2018 Career Builder Challenge

 

THE OVERVIEW

La Quinta, California – The Career Builder Challenge is a unique event in that the format includes a three-course rotation and a field cut after 54 holes instead of 36.

The three courses in play this week are: The PGA West Stadium Course (7,113-yard, par 72, the Nicklaus Course at PGA West (7,159-yard, par 72), and the La Quinta Country Club (7,060, par 72). The Stadium Course plays the most difficult, but all three rank among the easiest the tour plays all season. For fantasy leagues that have daily player rotation enabled (not too many now that Yahoo is no longer an option), keeping track of which course a player is on is crucial to being competitive.

There will be a lot of focus on Par-5 Scoring, Birdie Percentage, and SG Tee to Green across the golf scene this week (and those are all important). However, this writer is going to pick a “fore”some that heavily favors putting numbers.

 

PAST WINNERS

2017  – 20   Hudson Swafford   (Runner Up:  -19   Adam Hadwin)

2016  – 25   Jason Dufner   (Runner Up, Playoff:   David Lingmerth)

2015  – 22   Bill Haas   (Runners Up:  -21   Charley Hoffman, Matt Kuchar, Park Sung-Joon, Brendan Steele, & Steve Wheatcroft)

2014  – 28   Patrick Reed   (Runner Up:  – 26   Ryan Palmer)

2013  – 25   Brian Gay  (Runners Up, Playoff:   Charles Howell III & David Lingmerth)

THE ODDS    (Bovada 1/15/2018)

John Rahm  +900

Brian Harman  +1400

Patrick Reed  +1800

Webb Simpson  +1800

Kevin Kisner  +2000

Phil Mickelson  +2000

Patton Kizzire  +2800

Zach Johnson  +2800

Jason Dufner  +3000

Charles Howell III  +3000

Chez Reavie  +3000

Brendan Steele  +3300

Bud Cauley  +3300

Chesson Hadley  +3300

Ollie Schniederjans  +3300

Brandt Snedeker  +3500

Kevin Chappell  +4000

Peter Uihlein  +4000

Russell Know  +4000

Adam Hadwin  +5000

Austin Cook  +5000

Bill Haas  +5000

Bubba Watson  +5000

Chris Kirk  +5000

 

WHO’S HOT

Patton Kizzire

Brian Harman

Austin Cook

John Rahm

Kevin Kisner

Brian Stuard

Tom Hoge

 

HORSES FOR THE COURSE

Adam Hadwin

Bill Haas

Jason Dufner

David Lingmerth

Webb Simpson

Brendan Steele

 

LONGER SHOTS

Hudson Swafford  +5000

James Hahn +5000

Brian Stuard +6600

David Lingmerth +6600

J.J. Spaun  +6600

Luke List  +7000

Nick Taylor  +8000

Sung Kang  +8000

Brandon Hagy  +10000

Ryan Palmer  +12500

Sean O’Hair  +12500

Danny Lee  +15000

Dominic Bozzelli  +20000

Rory Sabbatini  +20000

 

FAITHFULS

Phil Mickelson

Zach Johnson

Charles Howell III

Bill Haas

Jimmy Walker

 

THE ‘FORE’ SOMES

‘FORE’ SOMES are chosen by selecting one player from a “low tier” betting pool (30:1 or better), two players from a “mid tier” (30:1 – 75:1), and a final player from a “high tier” (75:1 & up).  

KEITH’S ‘FORE’ SOME 

Brian Harman  (14:1).  Can’t go chalk with Rahm. Yes, there’s a good chance he will dominate this field, but Harman has been on a tear and had a very near miss last week. I am not completely sold that the you-have-minutes-to-live alarm that sounded Sunday morning in Hawaii didn’t rattle him. I like Simpson, I like Reed, I like Kisner, but I am staying on the Harman horse. Currently fifth at SGP over the last 10 events.

Bud Cauley (33:1) & Chesson Hadley  (33:1).   Both of these picks are quite low at our declared mid-range, but their recent putting sells them. Cauley has super solid tournament history and is currently 4th in SGP over the past 10 events. (Shout out to Fantasy Jesus). Hadley has been playing great this early season. And, this is an event that should suit him well. Again, his putting has been stellar of late. Just fractions ahead of Austin Cook and Ben Martin, but ahead. With a few of the superstars away, I really like Hadley’s chances at a great finish this week.

Nicholas Lindheim  (150:1).  To make up a little for the two super low picks in the mid-range, this one has gone a bit high. Nicholas Lindheim, a veteran of the Florida Pro Tour, The LatinoAmerica Tour, and The Web.com Tour, has 10 pro tournament victories to his name. From nearby Mission Viejo, California and has been putting lights out lately. Currently 3rd in SGP stats (rolling 10 rounds) and 7th in SG around the Green in the same timeframe. The 33-year-old American could be impressive this week.

 

JOHN’S ‘FORE’ SOME 

Patrick Reed  (18:1)

Chris Kirk  (50:1)

Chez Reavie  (33:1)

Kevin Na  (80:1)

 

GAVIN’S ‘FORE’ SOME 

Brian Harman  (14:1)

Chez Reavie  (33:1)

Bill Haas  (50:1)

Whee Kim  (175:1)

 

Listen to this week’s podcast to hear the team’s thoughts on the event and tweet us @fantasygolfww or #fgww.

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