THE OVERVIEW

TPC Boston, Norton, Massachusetts  - The FedEx Playoffs continues with round two. The top 100 in rankings are at TPC Boston and only the top 70 at the end of the week will get to go on to the BMW Championship in Pennsylvania.

This week, TPC Boston will play as a 7,342-yard, par 71 and it features wide-open fairways, fairly easy rough, and small, tough bentgrass greens. There will be an advantage to the bombers this week as they'll be able to carry some of the strategically-placed fairways bunkers. However, with the relatively easy layout and playoff competition in the air, all types of players will be able to score and everyone will be in attack mode.

The weather should be interesting to keep an eye on as there is a good chance for rain on the final round of Monday and some gusty winds throughout the week.

When selecting players this week, we'll be looking at course history, current form, SG:T2G/Approach, SG:Putting, and Par-4 Scoring.

 

PAST WINNERS

2017  -17   Justin Thomas    (Runner Up :    -14   Jordan Spieth)

2016   -15   Rory McIlroy   (Runner Up:   -13   Paul Casey)    

2015  -15   Rickie Fowler    (Runner Up:   -14   Henrik Stenson)

2014  -15   Chris Kirk    (Runners Up:   -13   Russell Henley, Billy Horschel, Geoff Ogilvy)

2013  -22   Henrik Stenson    (Runner Up:   -20   Steve Stricker)

 

BETTING ODDS   (Bovada 8/27/2018)

Dustin Johnson   +800

Justin Thomas   +1100

Brooks Koepka   +1200

Rory McIlroy   +1400

Jason Day   +1600

Jordan Spieth   +1800

Tiger Woods   +1800

Jon Rahm   +2000

Justin Rose   +2500

Adam Scott   +2800

Patrick Cantlay   +2800

Tommy Fleetwood   +2800

Tony Finau   +2800

Bryson DeChambeau   +3300

Henrik Stenson   +3300

Hideki Matsuyama   +3300

Patrick Reed   +3300

Webb Simpson   +4000

Paul Casey   +4500

Phil Mickelson   +4500

Billy Horschel   +5000

Louis Oosthuizen   +5000

Marc Leishman   +5000

Brandt Snedeker   +5500

Tyrrell Hatton   +5500

Aaron Wise   +6600

Alexander Noren   +6600

Gary Woodland   +6600

Kevin Na   +6600

Xander Schauffele   +6600

Zach Johnson   +6600

 

HOT PLAYERS

Brooks Koepka

Justin Thomas

Justin Rose

Adam Scott

Dustin Johnson

 

HORSES FOR THE COURSE

Tiger Woods

John Rahm

Jason Day

Paul Casey

Henrik Stenson

Rory McIlroy

 

LONGER SHOTS

Bubba Watson   +8000

Daniel Berger   +8000

Ian Poulter   +8000

Keegan Bradley   +8000

Kyle Stanley   +8000

Matt Kuchar   +8000

Rafael Cabrera Bello   +8000

Branden Grace   +10000

Cameron Smith   +10000

Charley Hoffman   +10000

Kevin Kisner   +10000

Luke List   +10000

Ryan Moore   +10000

Adam Hadwin   +12500

Byeong Hun An   +12500

Emiliano Grillo   +12500

Jimmy Walker   +12500

Russell Henley   +12500

Ryan Palmer   +12500

Stewart Cink   +12500

Austin Cook   +15000

Beau Hossler   +15000

Bronson Burgoon   +15000

C T Pan   +15000

Chez Reavie   +15000

Chris Kirk   +15000

Danny Lee   +15000

Jamie Lovemark   +15000

Jason Kokrak   +15000

Kevin Chappell   +15000

Nick Watney   +15000

Pat Perez   +15000

Russell Knox   +15000

Brian Harman   +17500

Andrew Putnam   +20000

Brian Gay   +20000

Charles Howell III   +20000

Chesson Hadley   +20000

J B Holmes   +20000

Jason Dufner   +20000

Jhonattan Vegas   +20000

Kevin Streelman   +20000

Kevin Tway   +20000

Peter Uihlein   +20000

Scott Stallings   +20000

Abraham Ancer   +25000

Anirban Lahiri   +25000

Brendan Steele   +25000

J J Spaun   +25000

Joel Dahmen   +25000

Keith Mitchell   +25000

Ollie Schniederjans   +25000

Scott Piercy   +25000

 

FAITHFULS

Justin Thomas

Dustin Johnson

Brooks Koepka

Justin Rose

Adam Scott

 

THE 'FORE' SOMES

'FORE' SOMES are chosen by selecting one player from a "low tier" betting pool (30:1 or better), two players from a "mid tier" (30:1 - 75:1), and a final player from a "high tier" (75:1 & up).  

KEITH'S 'FORE' SOME 

Adam Scott  (25:1).  It’s really hard not to pick Brooks Koepka at 12 and I also really like Jason Day at 16, but Scott with the additional value, I think, is a good play. Adam Scott looked really good last week. He was strong off the tee and his putting has really come around in the past few weeks as he has regained some of his elite form. I’m not sure how he gets away with “not-anchoring” the putter to his chest, but it is working. I like his current form, his current confidence, and even his course history at TPC Boston (4th 2016, 16th 2014, 7th, 2012, 8th 2011, 5th 2010.

Patrick Cantlay  (33:1)  &  Paul Casey  (55:1).  Patrick Cantlay has been on a bit of a heater lately. Siince missing the cut at the Fort Worth Invitational back in late May, Cantlay has five top 15s, including 3 top tens. He also ranks fifth in SG:Field for the past five events and 14th in Par 4 Scoring.

Paul Casey has the course history edge here, finishing 4th last year and 2nd in 2016 at TPC Boston. He also has some serious incentive as this is the last week to gain the attention of Thomas Bjorn for Ryder Cup consideration. Casey’s recent form has been pretty spotty. Two top tens in his last six events. But also a MC and 60th and 51st place finishes. Rolling the dice here, but I expect the 41-year-old Brit to bring his A game this week.

Gary Woodland (75:1).  As usual, there are a ton of great names to take here in the bomb range. Cameron Smith at 100, Keegan Bradley at 100, Adam Hadwin at 150, and even Peter Uihlein at 200. 

I’m going with the range chalk and taking Gary Woodland at 75:1. I almost went with Adam Hadwin based solely on his excellent performance at the Northern Trust this past week, but his form otherwise is too gnarly.Gary, on the other hand, feels like a smart play to me.

He’s made eight straight cuts and had a solid T6 finish at the PGA Championship two weeks ago. His length will help him this week on a track where he has made the cut five years in a row with 3 top 20s, two of which were top 15s. Book it.

 

**(differing odds come from Will Hill)

 

JOHN'S 'FORE' SOME 

n/a

 

GAVIN'S 'FORE' SOME 

n/a

 

Listen to this week’s podcast to hear the team’s thoughts on the event and tweet us @fantasygolfww or #fgww.

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