2018 Genesis Open

Fantasy Golf Picks and Betting Odds for the 2018 Genesis Open

 

THE OVERVIEW

Riviera Country Club, Pacific Palisades, California – Legendary Riviera Country Club is the host this week for an insanely strong field. Four of the top eight in the OWGR are here in the form of Dustin Johnson, Jordan Spieth, Justin Thomas, and Rory McIlroy. Tiger Woods is back and in the kind of form that looks like he will contend at some point this year. Phil Mickelson has not so quietly notched back-to-back top fives. There is even a whole host of in-form Euro Tour names that will be teeing it up: Tommy Fleetwood, Alex Noren, Thomas Pieters, Branden Grace, Rafael Cabrera Bello, and Hao Tong Li. All of this makes for what is sure to be a fabulous week of super pro golf.

The course is a beast at 7,322 yards. It’s narrow and tree-lined, long and complex. The greens are firm, fast, and small. And, while the kikuyu rough isn’t really heavy, it can be really tricky to play from.

Good driving will be a key this week. Decent driving length is important, too (although not entirely necessary, it’s not a bad idea to favor 300-plus averages). Other stats that will be worth weighing are Strokes Gained Putting, Proximity 150-175, and some course history (knowledge of some of the green complexes is a big advantage).

 

PAST WINNERS

2017  – 17   Dustin Johnson   (Runners Up:   -12   Scott Brown, Thomas Pieters)

2016  – 15   Bubba Watson   (Runners Up:   -14   Jason Kokrak, Adam Scott)

2015  – 6   James Hahn   (Runners Up, Playoff:   Paul Casey, Dustin Johnson)

2014  – 15   Bubba Watson   (Runner Up:  -13   Dustin Johnson)

2013  – 11   John Merrick  (Runner Up, Playoff:   Charlie Beljan)

THE ODDS    (Bovada 2/12/2018)

Dustin Johnson  +500

Rory McIlroy  +1100

Jordan Spieth  +1200

Justin Thomas  +1600

Paul Casey  +2800

Phil Mickelson  +2800

Tommy Fleetwood  +3300

Marc Leishman  +3300

Chez Reavie  +3300

Alex Noren  +3500

Tiger Woods  +4000

Daniel Berger  +4000

Ollie Schniederjans  +4000

Thomas Pieters  +4000

Branden Grace  +4500

Brendan Steele  +5000

Bubba Watson  +5000

Kevin Chappell  +5000

Matt Kuchar  +5000

Pat Perez  +5000

Patrick Cantlay  +5000

 

WHO’S HOT

Chez Reavie

Dustin Johnson

Tommy Fleetwood

Phil Mickelson

Brendan Steele

James Hahn

 

HORSES FOR THE COURSE

Dustin Johnson

Bubba Watson

Graham DeLaet

Adam Scott

Sang Moon Bae

James Hahn

Charley Hoffman

 

LONGER SHOTS

Adam Scott  +6600

Bill Haas  +6600

Charl Schwartzel  +6600

Charles Howell III  +6600

Keegan Bradley  +6600

Rafa Cabrera Bello  +6600

Tony Finau  +6600

Xander Schauffele  +6600

James Hahn  +6600

Kevin Streelman  +8000

Adam Hadwin  +8000

Beau Hossler  +8000

Hao Tong Li  +8000

Harris English  +8000

J.B. Holmes  +8000

Jason Kokrak  +8000

Shane Lowry  +8000

Cameron Smith  +8000

Charely Hoffman  +8000

Jhonattan Vegas  +8000

Francesco Molinari  +10000

Austin Cook  +10000

Bryson DeChambeau  +1000

Sang Moon Bae  +10000

Brandon Harkins  +12500

Bud Cauley  +12500

J.J. Spaun  +12500

Luke List  +12500

Peter Uihlein  +12500

 

FAITHFULS

Dustin Johnson

Paul Casey

Tommy Fleetwood

Marc Leishman

Branden Grace

Matt Kuchar

 

THE ‘FORE’ SOMES

‘FORE’ SOMES are chosen by selecting one player from a “low tier” betting pool (30:1 or better), two players from a “mid tier” (30:1 – 75:1), and a final player from a “high tier” (75:1 & up).  

KEITH’S ‘FORE’ SOME 

Forgoing the “low tier” this week. Will be playing three from the “mid tier.” 

Chez Reavie  (33:1) & Ollie Schneiderjans  (40:1) & Brendan Steele (50:1). Reavie pure fire lately. We were on him just a tad early before he went on his burner. Not going to miss the boat this week. Proximity 150-175 is super solid. Also ranks especially well for good driving and SG-APP. As good as anyone going at the moment. Little “perfect hair” Ollie Schniederjans blows up the model this week. Prox., Driving, SG-APP…it’s all there. We were on Steele two weeks ago when he racked a top 5 in Phoenix. He could have legit won that week if it weren’t for a couple of rolls that didn’t drop. At the top of his game: long off the tee and cooler than the other side of the pillow.

Charley Hoffman  (80:1).  Hoffman has got to be considered a steal at 80 to 1. Playing really well with strong finishes at the World Hero Challenge and the QBE Shootout. Strong course history here, too. Four straight cuts at the Genesis, including T4 last year and T12 in 2014. (So many great names with attractive value up in the high end. Hao Tong Li and Brandon Harkins could also easily be in this spot).  

 

JOHN’S ‘FORE’ SOME 

Paul Casey  28:1

Alex Noren  40:1       **(differing odds come from Will Hill)

Ollie Schneiderjans  40:1

Francesco Molinari  100:1

 

GAVIN’S ‘FORE’ SOME 

Thomas Pieters  40:1

James Hahn  66:1

Sang Moon Bae  80:1

Jhonattan Vegas  100:1

 

Listen to this week’s podcast to hear the team’s thoughts on the event and tweet us @fantasygolfww or #fgww.

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