2018 Memorial Tournament

2018 Memorial Tournament

 

THE OVERVIEW

Muirfield Village Golf Club, Dublin, Ohio – Muirfield Village is a Jack Nicklaus design that has been a staple on the tour since 1976 and this week the course will play as a 7,392-yard, par 72.

Being a Nicklaus design, the course favors players who like to shape their shots from left to right. Accuracy with the driver will not be rewarded as much as discipline off the tee this week as many of the ideal landing areas are less than 300 yards from the tees. Players looking to go longer off the tee will need to get lucky to avoid penalizing rough, nasty fairway bunkers, and the treeline. Half of the holes will have water in play and approaches will need to find the appropriate sections of the greens in order to have any chance on these lightning fast bentgrass greens.

The field this week is another strong one and the tourney promises to be an exciting one. When selecting players this week, we’ll be looking at current form, course history, SG-T2G, and Proximity in the 175-yard range.

 

PAST WINNERS

2017  -13   Jason Dufner    (Runners Up:   -10   Rickie Fowler, Anirban Lahiri)

2016  -15   William McGirt   (Runner Up, Playoff:   Jon Curran)

2015  -15   David Lingmerth   (Runner Up, Playoff:   Justin Rose)

2014  -13   Hideki Matsuyama   (Runner Up, Playoff:   Kevin Na)

2013  -12   Matt Kuchar   (Runner Up:   -10  Kevin Chappell)

 

BETTING ODDS   (Bovada 5/28/2018)

Dustin Johnson  +1200

Jason Day  +1200

Justin Rose  +1400

Justin Thomas  +1400

Rory McIlroy  +1400

Jordan Spieth  +1600

Rickie Fowler  +2000

Tiger Woods  +2000

Henrik Stenson  +2500

Bubba Watson  +2800

Hideki Matsuyama  +3300

Patrick Reed  +3300

Emiliano Grillo  +4000

Marc Leishman  +4000

Phil Mickelson  +4000

Adam Scott  +4500

Branden Grace  +4500

Matt Kuchar  +4500

Charl Schwartzel  +5000

Bryson DeChambeau  +5500

Patrick Cantlay  +5500

Tony Finau  +5500

Jason Dufner  +6000

Aaron Wise  +6600

Billy Horschel  +6600

Chesson Hadley  +6600

Kevin Na  +6600

Kiradech Aphibarnrat  +6600

Louis Oosthuizen  +6600

 

HOT PLAYERS

Justin Rose

Aaron Wise

Jason Day

Charl Schwartzel

Emiliano Grillo

Webb Simpson

 

HORSES FOR THE COURSE

Matt Kuchar

Hideki Matsuyama

Kevin Kisner

Tony Finau

Rory McIlroy

Justin Rose

 

LONGER SHOTS

Kevin Kisner  +7500

Kyle Stanley  +7500

Ryan Moore  +7500

Byeong Hun An  +8000

Charles Howell III  +8000

Beau Hossler  +9000

Danny Lee  +9000

Keegan Bradley  +9000

Luke List  +9000

Peter Uihlein  +9000

Xander Schauffele  +9000

Jaoquin Niemann  +10000

Keith Mitchell  +10000

Zach Johnson  +10000

Cameron Smith  +12500

Charley Hoffman  +12500

Chris Kirk  +12500

Kevin Chappell  +12500

Pat Perez  +12500

Kevin Streelman  +15000

Jason Kokrak  +17500

Satoshi Kodaira  +17500

Shubhankar Sharma  +17500

Anirban Lahiri  +20000

Cameron Davis  +20000

 

FAITHFULS

Henrik Stenson

Matt Kuchar

Jason Dufner

Zach Johnson

Marc Leishman

 

THE ‘FORE’ SOMES

‘FORE’ SOMES are chosen by selecting one player from a “low tier” betting pool (30:1 or better), two players from a “mid tier” (30:1 – 75:1), and a final player from a “high tier” (75:1 & up).  

KEITH’S ‘FORE’ SOME 

Justin Thomas  (14:1).  There’s some serious fire power in the top tier this week (a handful of names that could just run away with this one), but the play I like most is Thomas at 14. Stenson ranks better in the proximity range for this week’s model (2nd 175-200 & 6th 150-175), but I have a feeling Thomas is going to strike again soon. Thomas has been quietly playing solid golf since his win at the Honda: 2nd at the WGC-Mexico, T17 at The Masters, T21 at Wells Fargo, & T11 at The Players. He finished 4th here last year after back-to-back missed cuts. Was that an anomaly, or has he figured out how to play Muirfield Village? OWGR #1 player in the world. I’ll take it.

Marc Leishman  (40:1)  & Charl Schwartzel  (50:1).  I am going with a pair of veterans currently in sharp form for my mid-tier picks this week. Leishman took a week off following his fire hot week at the AT&T Byron Nelson where he shot 61, 66, 69, 68. He didn’t fare so well at The Players, but did manage a 3rd round 67 at Sawgrass, and his 9th place finish at The Masters included a 2nd round 67. Leish has had his ups and down so far this season, but when he gets hot, he gets hot. And, I think he is currently trending in the right direction. I really like him for a solid finish this week. What has happened to Charl Schwartzel? For just the past 5 rolling events (thank you Fantasy Jesus), Charl is suddenly ranking very well in SG-T2G, SG-App, and SG-Putting. After a year full of T50(ish) finishes and three missed cuts, Schwartzel has finished 3rd at the Zurich, T9 at the Wells Fargo, and T2 at The Players. Schwartzel used to be known for his absolute precision irons and unflappable demeanor. If he has found comfort in some old form, look out. I like the gamble at 50 to 1.

Ryan Moore  (75:1).  Ryan Moore has been relatively quiet thus far in 2018, but he has had a few really solid finishes going back to his T6 at Mayakoba, T9 at the Genesis, T5 at the Arnold Palmer, and 7th at the Valero. He missed the cut here last year, but is on record as saying that he really likes this track and feels he can score here. He is currently trending upward as he ranks 2nd in SG-APP for the past rolling 5 events behind only Justin Rose. (I also need to mention that Z. Johnson at 100, Perez at 125, and last week’s Web.com winner Cameron Davis at 200 will also be getting a smattering of play from me as well). 

 

**(differing odds come from Will Hill)

 

JOHN’S ‘FORE’ SOME 

Justin Rose  14:1

Hideki Matsuyama  33:1

Marc Leishman  40:1

Chris Kirk  125:1

 

GAVIN’S ‘FORE’ SOME 

Phil Mickelson  40:1

Matt Kuchar  40:1

Louis Oosthuizen  50:1

Joaquin Niemann  125:1

 

Listen to this week’s podcast to hear the team’s thoughts on the event and tweet us @fantasygolfww or #fgww.

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