THE OVERVIEW

Glen Abbey Golf Club, Oakville, Ontario, Canada - After that thrilling week in Carnoustie, the PGA Tour jumps back over to Ontario for the RBC Canadian Open. Glen Abbey Golf Club is hosting again and the Nicklaus design will play as a 7,253 yard par 72 this week.

The course features fairly wide tree-lined fairways, slow bentgrass greens, and a bit of water down the final stretch. It should be a driver's course this week. Above average length players will have short irons and wedges into many of the greens and if the week sees a little rain, players will be able to absolutely go pin seeking.

For our model this week we favored Driving Distance Proximity in the 125-175 ranges, SG:Approach, and SG:Putting.

 

 

PAST WINNERS

2017  -21   Jhonattan Vegas  (Runner Up, Playoff:   Charley Hoffman)

2016  -12   Jhonattan Vegas  (Runners Up:   -11   Dustin Johnson, Martin Laird, Jon Rahm)

2015  -17   Jason Day   (Runner Up:   -16   Bubba Watson)   

 

BETTING ODDS   (Bovada 7/24/2018)

Dustin Johnson  +650

Brooks Koepka  +1100

Tommy Fleetwood  +1600

Tony Finau  +1600

Bubba Watson  +2000

Charley Hoffman  +2500

Matt Kuchar  +2500

Sergio Garcia  +2500

Joaquin Niemann  +2800

Billy Horschel  +3300

Brandt Snedeker  +3300

Kevin Kisner  +3300

Byeonghun An  +4000

Gary Woodland  +4000

Ian Poulter  +4000

Cameron Champ  +5000

J B Holmes  +5000

Joel Dahmen  +5000

Keegan Bradley  +5000

Steve Stricker  +5000

Adam Hadwin  +6600

Chris Kirk  +6600

Jamie Lovemark  +6600

Jhonattan Vegas  +6600

Jimmy Walker  +6600

Ollie Schniederjans  +6600

Shane Lowry  +6600

Stewart Cink  +6600

 

HOT PLAYERS

Joel Dahmen

Stewart Cink

Charley Hoffman

Tony Finau

Brooks Koepka

Tommy Fleetwood

 

HORSES FOR THE COURSE

Jhonattan Vegas

Dustin Johnson

Brandt Snedeker

Charley Hoffman

Matt Kuchar

 

LONGER SHOTS

Bronson Burgoon  +8000

Chesson Hadley  +8000

Chez Reavie  +8000

David Lingmerth  +8000

Harold Varner III  +8000

Jason Kokrak  +8000

Keith Mitchell  +8000

Martin Kaymer  +8000

Danny Lee  +10000

J J Spaun  +10000

J T Poston  +10000

James Hahn  +10000

Johnson Wagner  +10000

Kevin Tway  +10000

Martin Laird  +10000

Nick Watney  +10000

Patrick Rodgers  +10000

Ryan Armour  +10000

Sam Ryder  +10000

Seamus Power  +10000

Tom Lovelady  +10000

Troy Merritt  +10000

Andrew Putnam  +12500

Graeme McDowell  +12500

Hunter Mahan  +12500

Jim Furyk  +12500

Kelly Kraft  +12500

Ryan Blaum  +12500

Si Woo Kim  +12500

Wesley Bryan  +12500

Whee Kim  +12500

Abraham Ancer  +15000

Alex Cejka  +15000

Ben Crane  +15000

Bill Haas  +15000

Blayne Barber  +15000

Cameron Percy  +15000

Chad Campbell  +15000

Chris Stroud  +15000

Corey Conners  +15000

David Hearn  +15000

Denny McCarthy  +15000

Fabin Gomez  +15000

John Huh  +15000

Mackenzie Hughes  +15000

Matt Jones  +15000

Robert Garrigus  +15000

Robert Streb  +15000

Rory Sabbatini  +15000

Ryan Palmer  +15000

Sam Saunders  +15000

Scott Brown  +15000

Scott Stallings  +15000

Sung Kang  +15000

Tyler Duncan  +15000

 

FAITHFULS

Dustin Johnson

Bubba Watson

Charley Hoffman

Tommy Fleetwood

Brandt Snedeker

 

GOLF PICKS

THE 'FORE' SOMES

'FORE' SOMES are chosen by selecting one player from a "low tier" betting pool (30:1 or better), two players from a "mid tier" (30:1 - 75:1), and a final player from a "high tier" (75:1 & up).  

KEITH'S 'FORE' SOME 

Tony Finau  (17:1).  Tony Finau is really enjoying a solid year of excellent form and if Glen Abbey is going to be a bit of a bomber's track this week, we are all over the 28-year-old from Salt Lake City. For PGA stats, Finau is currently ranked 3rd for Driving Distance (317.1), 23rd for GIR (70%), 6th for (holes per) Eagles, 19th in Birdie Average (3.9), and 16th in Scoring Average (69.6). For the season he is gaining nearly half a stroke off the tee, half a stroke on approach, and a quarter of a stroke putting. (And actually, for the last ten events he is gaining a full stroke on approach.)  It's impossible to know how much energy or swagger he'll be able to bring into Ontario this week after flying in from Scotland, but if he is feeling fine, we love his chances this week.      

Gary Woodland  (34:1).  There's a surprising lack of exciting names in this range this week. Woodland has been pretty quiet since his win early this season. We've been on him a few times since, expecting another good showing at some point, and feel like this could be the week. According to the numbers, Woodland's game should set up nicely for Glen Abbey. He's huge off the tee, gaining .83 strokes, and can get hot with his shorter irons. He doesn't have any great finishes of late to speak of, but he made the weekend at Carnoustie, which many world class players were unable to do. And if you are looking at a bomb and gouge model this week, there are few better.   NOTE: Red-hot Web.com player Cameron Champ is in this range this week and his game has been absolute fire the last two months. 

Keith Mitchell  (80:1)  &  Tom Lovelady  (100:1).  In this high tier, we are taking the hot current form and the extra length off the tee. Keith Mitchell has been having an excellent season in 2018. The 26-year-old by way of University of Georgia has piled up 4 top ten finishes since his solo 2nd at the Putacana back in March (and that includes a T7 at the John Deere two weeks ago). Mitchell is currently ranked 7th in Driving Distance at 312.7, 51st in GIR 68.5%, and 14th in Birdie Average. Continuing with the bomb and gouge theme, our second pick in the mid-range is Tom Lovelady. Last week at the Barbasol, Lovelady had a legit chance to win and notched the best finish of his PGA career. He is another monster off the tee box, ranking 4th on the tour at 315 yards per. And, his short iron proximity numbers are pretty good, too. We're banking on the fact that last week's excellent showing in a lighter field gave the 24-year-old from the University of Alabama some quality experience and confidence. His second place finish launched him up nearly 100 spots on the OWGR to #262. The risk/reward here is pretty high, but when Lovelady turns it on, he has the potential to go really low.

 

**(differing odds come from Will Hill)

 

JOHN'S 'FORE' SOME 

n/a

 

GAVIN'S 'FORE' SOME 

Tony Finau  16:1

Chez Reavie  66:1

Brandt Snedeker  33:1

Harold Varner III  100:1

 

Listen to this week’s podcast to hear the team’s thoughts on the event and tweet us @fantasygolfww or #fgww.

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