2018 RBC Heritage Open

Fantasy Golf Picks and Betting Odds for the 2018 RBC Heritage Open

THE OVERVIEW

Harbour Town Golf Links, Hilton Head Island, South Carolina – The course at Hilton Head plays relatively short for a par 71 at only 7100 yards. However, it will still be a test this week. The track has narrow, tree-lined fairways, water hazards scattered throughout, and some of the smallest greens these players will see all year.

It’s hard to judge how much of a toll Masters week will have taken on the players who were in Augusta. Some, could be rightly drained, both mentally and emotionally. Others may be spurned on by either a disappointing or better-than-average week. It comes down to a judgement call, and for the more mild veterans, I wouldn’t bet against them. They seem to fare very well in this tourney.

While making our selections this week, we’ll be looking at Driving Accuracy, Proximity, and Around-the-Green Scoring/Scrambling.

 

PAST WINNERS

2017  -13   Wesley Bryan   (Runner Up:   -12   Luke Donald)

2016  -9   Branden Grace   (Runners Up:   -7   Luke Donald, Russell Knox)

2015  -18   Jim Furyk   (Runner Up, Playoff:   Kevin Kisner)

2014  -11   Matt Kuchar   (Runners Up:   -10   Luke Donald)

2013  -9   Graeme McDowell   (Runner Up, Playoff:   Webb Simpson)

THE ODDS    (Bovada 4/9/2018)

Dustin Johnson  +800

Paul Casey  +1200

Matt Kuchar  +1600

Webb Simpson  +2500

Marc Leishman  +2500

Cameron Smith  +2800

Luke List  +3300

Adam Hadwin  +3300

Brian Harman  +3300

Tyrrell Hatton +3300

Ollie Schniederjans  +3399

Kevin Kisner  +3300

Patrick Cantlay  +3500

Ian Poulter  +3500

Emiliano Grillo  +4000

Kevin Na  +4000

Bryson DeChambeau  +4000

Charley Hoffman  +4000

Francesco Molinari  +5000

Kevin Chappell  +5000

Zach Johnson  +5000

Luke Donald  +5000

Xander Schauffele  +5500

Bud Cauley  +5500

Byeong Hun An  +5500

Charles Howell III  +5500

Ryan Moore  +5500

Jason Dufner  +6000

Russell Knox  +6000

Steve Stricker  +6000

Beau Hossler  +6600

Jim Furyk  +6600

 

WHO’S HOT

Paul Casey

Mar Leishman

Ian Poulter

Charley Hoffman

Cameron Smith

 

HORSES FOR THE COURSE

Luke Donald

Kevin Kisner

Matt Kuchar

Webb Simpson

Jim Furyk

Graeme McDowell

Wesley Bryan

 

LONGER SHOTS

Jason Kokrak  +7000

Scott Piercy  +7500

William McGirt  +7500

Matthew Fitzpatrick  +8000

Patton Kizzire  +8000

Si Woo Kim  +8000

Charl Schwartzel  +9000

Graeme McDowell  +9000

James Hahn  +9000

John Huh  +9000

Martin Laird  +9000

Rory Sabbatini  +9000

Ross Fisher  +9000

Ryan Palmer  +9000

Dylan Frittelli  +10000

Austin Cook  +10000

Bill Haas  +10000

Chesson Hadley  +10000

Chris Kirk  +10000

Kelly Kraft  +10000

Wesley Bryan  +10000

Sean O’Hair  +12500

Anirban Lahiri  +15000

Michael Thompson  +15000

Corey Conners  +17500

Satoshi Kodaira  +17500

Tyrone Van Aswegan  +20000

Danny Lee  +22500

 

FAITHFULS

Matt Kuchar

Zach Johnson

Webb Simpson

Jim Furyk

Graeme McDowell

Bill Haas

 

THE ‘FORE’ SOMES

‘FORE’ SOMES are chosen by selecting one player from a “low tier” betting pool (30:1 or better), two players from a “mid tier” (30:1 – 75:1), and a final player from a “high tier” (75:1 & up).  

KEITH’S ‘FORE’ SOME 

Matt Kuchar (16:1).  There are only six names to choose from at this range this week, and I am going to be taking the smooth-walking, big-smiling, former champion, Matt Kuchar. Kuchar had a decent finish in Augusta even though he had a couple slightly disappointing rounds. His demeanor and mentality assure me that he won’t be burnt out from the high-profile major and will be ready for a course that he routinely plays well on. Over just the past four years at Harbour Town, Kuchar has finished T11, T9, 5th, and 1st. There are other names to like at this range: Casey ranks very well in the model and has been in form of late, Webby also has good course history and shows in the model, and Cam Smith is currently coming into his own on the PGA Tour and is one of my more favored younger players. However, Kuch owns this course and is as steady as any player on tour. I like his chances to contend this week.

Adam Hadwin (33:1) & Francesco Molinari (50:1).  I’m on Hadwin for the second week in a row. After the first two rounds at Augusta, I thought the cool Canadian was really going to make a run at it. However, he just seemed to level off. Regardless, Hadwin has been playing extremely well of late. He ranks well in SG Against the Field  and he ranks EXTREMELY WELL in SG Around the Green for the past 5 and 10 rolling events (thanks Fantasy Jesus). This is one of those judgement calls that have to be made on a player rebounding after the toll of a major week. Hard to say whether Hadwin will have the nerve to bring it right back, but I am giving him the benefit of the doubt. T30 in 2016 and T22 in 2017, so he’s familiar with the track and slowly trending upward. Love the Italian, Francesco Molinari here this week. Again, rebounding from a taxing week, but the Euro veteran will have plenty in the tank heading into Hilton Head. Smart off the tee, capable of laser irons, and strong short game. Ranking well in both SG Against the Field and Around the Green, and…in a field where there might be a little lingering hangover, Francesco can capitalize.  (Grillo, Z. John, and Howell III all also great picks.)

Sean O’Hair (125:1).  Sean O’Hair has shown up a bit recently. Over the past rolling 5 events, he ranks well in both SG Against the Field and SG Around the Green. He notched a T12 at the Valspar and a T7 at the Arnold Palmer. If the 35-year-old from Lubbock, Texas has found some return to form, then he could be poised for a strong finish soon. Looking back a couple of years to 2015, O’Hair had a great 6th place finish at Harbour Town that included a Sunday 64. If his irons and short game are working, he could be eyeing a similar finish here this week.

 

**(differing odds come from Will Hill)

 

JOHN’S ‘FORE’ SOME 

Marc Leishman  25:1

Adam Hadwin  33:1

Kevin Chappell  50:1

Michael Thompson  150:1

 

GAVIN’S ‘FORE’ SOME 

Cameron Smith  28:1

Emiliano Grillo  33:1

Ryan Moore  40:1

Patton Kizzire  80:1

 

Listen to this week’s podcast to hear the team’s thoughts on the event and tweet us @fantasygolfww or #fgww.