2018 Sentry Tournament of Champions

fantasy golf picks for the 2018 Sentry Tournament of Champions

THE OVERVIEW

Kapalua (The Plantation Course), Maui, Hawaii – The Tour’s first event of 2018 kicks off this week at Kapalua’s Plantation Course on the Hawaiian island of Maui. The entry list consists solely of winners from the 2017 season and therefore lends to a much-smaller-than-average field.

A Ben Crenshaw and Bill Coore design, The Plantation Course features some significant elevation changes, wide fairways, and huge greens. This week the course will be playing as a  7,411-yard, par 73. So, it will be tempting to favor the bombers in the field, but past years have shown that scrambling and proximity stats are worth a long hard look as well.

 

PAST WINNERS

2017  – 22   Justin Thomas   (Runner Up:  -19  Hideki Matsuyama)

2016  – 30   Jordan Spieth   (Runner Up:  – 22  Patrick Reed)

2015  – 21   Patrick Reed   (Runner Up, Playoff:    Jimmy Walker)

2014  – 19   Zach Johnson   (Runner Up:  – 18  Jordan Spieth)

2013  – 16   Dustin Johnson  (Runner Up:  -16  Steve Stricker)

THE ODDS    (Bovada 1/1/2018)

Jordan Spieth  +600

Justin Thomas  +600

Dustin Johnson  +750

Rickie Fowler  +750

Brooks Koepka  +1100

Hideki Matsuyama  +1200

John Rahm  +1200

Marc Leishman  +2000

Patrick Cantlay  +2200

Xander Schauffele  +2200

Kevin Kisner  +2500

Brian Harman  +2800

Pat Perez  +2800

Cameron Smith  +3300

Daniel Berger  +3300

 

WHO’S HOT

Rickie Fowler

Cameron Smith

Austin Cook

Patrick Cantlay

Brian Harman

Kevin Kisner

 

HORSES FOR THE COURSE

Jordan Spieth

Justin Thomas

Dustin Johnson

Hideki Matsuyama

Rickie Fowler

 

LONGER SHOTS

Kevin Chappell  +4000

Russell Henley  +4000

Brendan Steele  +4000

Bryson DeChambeau  +5500

Kyle Stanley  +5500

Austin Cook  +6600

Hudson Swafford  +10000

 

FAITHFULS

Jordan Spieth

Dustin Johnson

Marc Leishman

Pat Perez

 

THE ‘FORE’ SOMES

‘FORE’ SOMES are chosen by selecting one player from a “low tier” betting pool (30:1 or better), two players from a “mid tier” (30:1 – 75:1), and a final player from a “high tier” (75:1 & up).  

KEITH’S ‘FORE’ SOME 

Justin Thomas  (6:1)  Jordan Spieth is difficult not to take due to his extremely strong course history here. Also, Rickie Fowler is an excellent pick considering his on fire recent form (second-place finish at the OHL and his blitzkrieg of a come-from-behind win at the Hero World).Also, also, Dustin Johnson will also get his name called a lot as his ownership looks to be quite high this week. However, all of that considered, Justin Thomas gets the nod. Only a few months ago Thomas looked like the best player in the world (a position that Justin Rose has seriously challenged since). At the CJ Cup back in just eight weeks ago, Thomas won with a precision that was staggering to witness. A mid-field finish at the World Hero can be considered a bit of a blip, but even that is debatable. If the young pro has had some restful time off and wishes to be a serious contender here this week (which is most likely the case), he will be near impossible to beat.  (Brian Harman could be a dark horse here this week as well).

Cameron Smith (33:1) & Bryson DeChambeau (55:1)  Cameron Smith is one of the hottest players in golf right now. His win at the Aussie PGA just last month was most impressive and he finished 3rd at the CJ Cup the month prior, behind only Justin Thomas and Marc Leishman. The young Australian could make a big splash in his Hawaiian swing debut. Bryson DeChambeau ticks all of the boxes for approach proximity and scrambling. He played extremely well at the Shriners two months back and has had some time off. Like Cameron Smith, DeChambeau is poised to have a huge year and both of them might get that started here this week.

Hudson Swafford (100:1)  Swafford’s strokes gained approach and scrambling numbers earn him the high-tier spot at 100:1.

 

JOHN’S ‘FORE’ SOME 

Jordan Spieth  (6:1)

Brendan Steele  (45:1)

Pat Perez  (28:1)

Ryan Armour  (125:1)

 

GAVIN’S ‘FORE’ SOME 

Rickie Fowler  (7.5:1)

Cameron Smith  (40:1)

Kevin Chappell  (40:1)

Johnattan Vegas  (100:1)

 

Listen to this week’s podcast to hear the team’s thoughts on the event and tweet us @fantasygolfww or #fgww.

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