2018 Valero Texas Open

2018 Valero Texas Open Fantasy Golf Picks

 

THE OVERVIEW

AT&T Oaks Course, San Antonio, Texas – The course in San Antonio this week is going to play tough. There’s plenty of trouble off the tee and inclement weather absolutely loves this event. A 2010 design by Greg Norman (with an assist by Sergio Garcia), The AT&T Oaks Course will play as a 7,435-yard par 72 and should prove difficult to score on. Players that do play well here, however, tend to play well here consistently, so you may want to look at course history a bit this week.

The model we’ll be using to select players includes SG:T2G, Par-5 Scoring, and Driving Distance.

 

PAST WINNERS

2017  -12   Kevin Chappell   (Runner Up:   -11   Brooks Koepka)

2016  -12   Charley Hoffman   (Runner Up:   -11   Patrick Reed)

2015  -11   Jimmy Walker   (Runner Up:   -7   Jordan Spieth)

2014  -8   Steven Bowditch   (Runners Up:   -8   Will MacKenzie, Daniel Summerhays)

2013  -14   Martin Laird   (Runner Up:   -12   Rory McIlroy)

THE ODDS    (Bovada 4/16/2018)

Sergio Garcia  +1200

Matt Kuchar  +1800

Charley Hoffman  +1800

Luke List  +2200

Ryan Moore  +2500

Kevin Chappell  +2800

Adam Scott  +3000

Billy Horschel  +3300

Xander Schauffele  +3300

Brandt Snedeker  +3500

Chesson Hadley  +4000

Si Woo Kim  +4000

Beau Hossler  +4000

Brendan Steele  +4000

Jamie Lovemark  +4000

Jimmy Walker  +4000

Ollie Schniederjans  +4000

Pat Perez  +4000

Zach Johnson  +4000

Bill Haas  +5000

J.B. Holmes  +5000

Keegan Bradley  +5000

Kevin Na  +5000

Kevin Streelman  +5000

Martin Laird  +5000

Ryan Palmer  +5000

Scott Piercy  +5000

Julian Suri  +5000

Chris Kirk  +6600

Jason Kokrak  +6600

Shubhankar Sharma  +6600

 

WHO’S HOT

Luke List

Si Woo Kim

Charley Hoffman

Matt Kuchar

Abraham Ancer

Ryan Moore

 

HORSES FOR THE COURSE

Charley Hoffman

Adam Scott

Pat Perez

Ryan Moore

Brandt Snedeker

 

LONGER SHOTS

Abraham Ancer  +7000

Russell Knox  +7000

Aaron Wise  +8000

Austin Cook  +8000

Chris Paisley  +8000

Jhonattan Vegas  +8000

John Huh  +8000

Patrick Rodgers  +8000

Aaron Baddeley  +10000

Brandon Harkins  +10000

Brice Garnett  +10000

Graeme McDowell  +10000

Kevin Tway  +10000

Tom Hoge  +12500

Nate Lashley  +15000

Sung Kang  +15000

Harold Varner III  +20000

 

FAITHFULS

Matt Kuchar

Brandt Snedeker

Zach Johnson

Martin Laird

Aaron Baddeley

 

THE ‘FORE’ SOMES

‘FORE’ SOMES are chosen by selecting one player from a “low tier” betting pool (30:1 or better), two players from a “mid tier” (30:1 – 75:1), and a final player from a “high tier” (75:1 & up).  

KEITH’S ‘FORE’ SOME 

Luke List (22:1).  What’s not to love about List this week. He’s been pure fire ever since his playoff loss to Justin Thomas a few weeks back. He bombs it off the tee, but has shown some new maturity in reigning in his length when he needs to this season. He’s been hitting greens and his touch around the greens when he misses has been improving, too. So, in a slightly lighter field and on a track that favors longer hitters, List has a great chance at being in the hunt come Sunday.

Brendan Steele (40:1) & Ryan Palmer (50:1).  Running out of time, so apologies for brevity. Steele having a solid year so far. Win at the Safeway to kick off the season. Top 5 in Phoenix. A truly great driver of the golf ball (bombs it off the tee). Played this event a lot (T8 in 2015, T13 in 2016). Love Steele’s chances this week and great value at 40. Palmer one of those that consistently plays well in this event. T6, T4, T6 the last three years. One of the best drivers over the last 5/10 events. Get him in the gate!

Trey Mullinax (80:1).  Mullinax just blow up the model this week. Ranks great in driving distance. Tops the lists in Par-5 Scoring. And, solid ball striking to boot. Boom, and… boom.

 

**(differing odds come from Will Hill)

 

JOHN’S ‘FORE’ SOME 

Charley Hoffman  20:1

Kevin Streelman  50:1

J.B. Holmes  50:1

Abraham Ancer  100:1

 

GAVIN’S ‘FORE’ SOME 

Luke List  22:1

Jimmy Walker  50:1

John Huh  80:1

Abraham Ancer  100:1

 

Listen to this week’s podcast to hear the team’s thoughts on the event and tweet us @fantasygolfww or #fgww.

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