2018 Waste Management Phoenix Open

Fantasy Golf Picks and Betting Odds for the 2018 Waste Management Phoenix Open.

THE OVERVIEW

The Stadium Course, TPC Scottsdale, Scottsdale, Arizona – This week the PGA moves into “party golf” mode when it arrives in Scottsdale, Arizona. The Waste Management Phoenix Open has set attendance records each year during the recent past and last year’s event tallied over 655,000 onlookers. So, the tour can expect even more drunken Scottsdale bros, trophy wives, and other golf-illiterate fashionistas to show up for the event this coming weekend.

That said, the course is a rather fun Weiskopf design that plays as a par 71 at 7,216 yards.  It runs along the base of the picturesque McDowell Mountain Range and provides a ton of birdie opportunities. Scores will be super low this week. After Mickelson won at 28 under in 2013, the course underwent a small renovation (again at the hands of Weiskopf); however, an aggregate winning total near 20 under is still probable.

Stats that FGWW will be targeting this week are Strokes Gained Tee to Green, GIR, and Proximity (150-175).

 

PAST WINNERS

2017  – 17   Hideki Matsuyama   (Runner Up, Playoff:   Webb Simpson)

2016  – 14   Hideki Matsuyama   (Runner Up, Playoff:   Rickie Fowler)

2015  – 15   Brooks Koepka   (Runners Up:   -14   Hideki Matsuyama, Ryan Palmer, Bubba Watson)

2014  – 16   Kevin Stadler   (Runners Up:  -15   Graham DeLaet, Bubba Watson)

2013  – 28   Phil Mickelson  (Runner Up:   -24   Brandt Snedeker)

THE ODDS    (Bovada 1/29/2018)

Hideki Matsuyama  +900

Jordan Spieth  +900

Jon Rahm  +1000

Justin Thomas  +1600

Rickie Fowler  +1600

Marc Leishman  +3000

Webb Simpson  +3300

Gary Woodland  +3500

Tony Finau  +3500

Alexander Noren  +4000

Daniel Berger  +4000

Charles Howell III  +4500

J.B. Holmes  +4500

Brendan Steele  +5000

Byeong Hun An  +5000

Matt Kuchar  +5000

Phil Mickelson  +5000

Shane Lowry  +5000

Zach Johnson  +5000

 

WHO’S HOT

Jon Rahm

Jason Day

Jordan Spieth

Hideki Matsuyama

Alex Noren

Zach Johnson

Austin Cook

 

HORSES FOR THE COURSE

Hideki Matsuyama

Jordan Spieth

Jon Rahm

Shane Lowry

Webb Simpson

Zach Johnson

Brendan Steele

J.J. Spaun

 

LONGER SHOTS

Austin Cook  +5500

Patton Kizzire  +5500

Patrick Reed  +6000

Cameron Smith  +6600

Keegan Bradley  +6600

Kevin Chappell  +6600

Kyle Stanley  +6600

Russell Henley  +6600

Scott Piercy  +6600

Charley Hoffman  +7000

Francesco Molinari  +7000

J.J. Spaun  +7000

Ryan Palmer  +7000

Chez Reavie  +7500

Ollie Schniederjans  +8000

Julian Suri  +12500

Peter Uihlein  +12500

Bryson DeChambeau  +14000

Luke List  +14000

C.T. Pan  +15000

Jamie Lovemark  +17500

John Peterson  +25000

 

FAITHFULS

Hideki Matsuyama

Jordan Spieth

Charles Howell III

Zach Johnson

Matt Kuchar

 

THE ‘FORE’ SOMES

‘FORE’ SOMES are chosen by selecting one player from a “low tier” betting pool (30:1 or better), two players from a “mid tier” (30:1 – 75:1), and a final player from a “high tier” (75:1 & up).  

KEITH’S ‘FORE’ SOME 

Jordan Spieth  (9:1).  Hard to go so close to chalk, but Spieth pops in the model for this week. His name appears 2nd for SGT2G, 5th in SGAPP, and 3rd for PROX 150-175 for recent performance. Course history pretty solid, too: T9 here in 2017 and T7 in 2015. And, he should be coming in fresh after taking two weeks off.

Brendan Steele (50:1) & Zach Johnson (50:1).   Currently 6th in the FedEx Rankings, Steele has already tallied four top 20s in this early season. He also shows well for this week’s model in recent SGT2G, GIR, and SGAPP, and has a solid history on this track. The fact the he also sits ranked 6th for Total Driving in 2018 is just the icing on the cake. Zach Johnson has finished top 15 for three straight years at this event. The super solid veteran also fits well into the model. 41st in GIR and 19th in Putts per Round this season. We’ll take it.

J.J. Spaun  (70:1).  Spaun‘s name is littered across all the lists for this week’s model. His third round 62 at the RSM was magical and he notched a T10 in Vegas as well as a T14 in Mexico. The Golf-Twitter-Verse has been projecting a Spaun breaking out party for months. This week his chances look as good as ever.

 

JOHN’S ‘FORE’ SOME 

Rickie Fowler  14:1

Webb Simpson  40:1

Ryan Palmer  66:1

Adam Hadwin  75:1

 

GAVIN’S ‘FORE’ SOME 

Hideki Matsuyama  9:1

Patton Kizzire  66:1

J.J. Spaun  66:1

Xander Schauffele  80:1

 

Listen to this week’s podcast to hear the team’s thoughts on the event and tweet us @fantasygolfww or #fgww.