THE OVERVIEW

TPC Kuala Lumpur, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia  - The tour swings all the way over to Malaysia for an Asian Tour co-sanctioned event at The West Course at TPC Kuala Lumpur. The field consists of 78 players selected from the top 60 in FedEx Standings, the top 10 in the Asian Tour’s Order of Merit, and the rest from exemptions and local pros.

The course this week is among the easiest the players will face this season and the winning aggregate should be south of 20 under. The West Course plays as a 7,005-yard, par 72 and features wide fairways, a few reachable par 4s, some water in play, and significant elevation changes. Another important note for this year is that the 2018 course changes included the change from paspalum grass to TifEagle Bermuda. That change has been implemented coursewide and that change, in part, was to help with the green run-off areas.

As for weather it will be hot and wet. Joy Chakravarty tweeted a short video last night of torrential rain in Kuala Lumpur, so the greens should be super receptive and allow the players to just throw darts at pins all day.

When selecting players this week, I’ll be looking at current form, course history, SG:Approach, and Birdie or Better Percentage.

 

PAST WINNERS

2017  -24   Pat Perez   (Runner Up :    -20   Keegan Bradley)

2016   -23   Justin Thomas   (Runner Up:   -20   Hideki Matsuyama)

2015  -26   Justin Thomas    (Runner Up:   -25   Adam Scott)

2014  -17   Ryan Moore    (Runners Up:   -14   Sergio Garcia, Kevin Na, Gary Woodland)

 

BETTING ODDS   (Bovada 10/8/2018)

Justin Thomas  +500

Billy Horschel  +1400

Ryan Moore  +1400

Paul Casey  +1600

Xander Schauffele  +1600

Gary Woodland  +2000

Keegan Bradley  +2000

Marc Leishman  +2000

Brandt Snedeker  +2800

Kyle Stanley  +2800

Rafa Cabrera Bello  +2800

Louis Oosthuizen  +3000

Byeong Hun An  +3300

Cameron Smith  +3300

Emiliano Grillo  +3300

Kevin Tway  +3300

Branden Grace  +4000

CT Pan  +4000

Danny Lee  +4000

JB Holmes  +4000

Kevin Na  +4000

Pat Perez  +4000

Beau Hossler  +5000

Charles Howell III  +5000

Chez Reavie  +5000

Peter Uihlein  +5000

Sam Ryder  +5000

Anirban Lahiri  +6600

Jimmy Walker  +6600

Si Woo Kim  +6600

Thomas Pieters  +6600

 

HOT PLAYERS

Kevin Tway

Ryan Moore

Brandt Snedeker

Justin Thomas

Billy Horschel

Xander Schauffele

 

HORSES FOR THE COURSE

Justin Thomas

Ryan Moore

Pat Perez

Kiradech Aphibarnrat

Xander Schauffele

 

LONGER SHOTS

Abraham Ancer  +8000

Austin Cook  +8000

Brian Gay  +8000

Bronson Burgoon  +8000

Jamie Lovemark  +8000

Jhonattan Vegas  +8000

Kevin Chappell  +8000

Kiradech Aphibarnrat  +8000

Scott Piercy  +8000

Stewart Cink  +8000

Troy Merritt  +8000

Andrew Putnam  +10000

Brendan Steele  +10000

Brice Garnett  +10000

Chesson Hadley  +10000

JJ Spaun  +10000

Jason Dufner  +10000

Joel Dahmen  +10000

Keith Mitchell  +10000

Nick Watney  +10000

Ryan Armour  +10000

Ryan Palmer  +10000

Scott Stallings  +10000

Scott Vincent  +10000

Tom Hoge  +10000

Shubhankar Sharma  +15000

Satoshi Kodaira  +20000

 

FAITHFULS

Justin Thomas

Brandt Snedeker

Paul Casey

Ryan Moore

Louis Oosthuizen

Kiradech Aphibarnrat

 

GOLF PICKS

THE 'FORE' SOMES

'FORE' SOMES are chosen by selecting one player from a "low tier" betting pool (30:1 or better), two players from a "mid tier" (30:1 - 75:1), and a final player from a "high tier" (75:1 & up).  

KEITH'S 'FORE' SOME 

Ryan Moore  (16:1).  Was teetering between Xander Schauffele and Ryan Moore here. Xander had that excellent T3 finish here last year and looked rather solid last month during the FedEx playoffs.

However, I ultimately decided Moore was the smarter play. Very nearly won last week in Napa, so he certainly is feeling his game at the moment. Back-to-back winner at Kuala Lumpur in 2013 and 2014. Don’t even need to dig into stats. After fading JT at that unplayable 5:1, number. Moore is good enough for me.

Cameron Smith  (33:1)  &  Byeong Hun An  (33:1).  I’m taking two range chalk names here in the mid-tier and they are currently no longer available at these numbers. I put in my wagers last night before going to bed and this morning Smith has already fallen to 28:1 and An to 30.

Cameron Smith has a pretty good track record here. T5 in 2014 and T5 in 2017. And he after a slew of missed cuts he finished last season rather strong. He had back-to-back T3 finishes at The Northern Trust and The Dell Technologies Championship. A 23rd at the WGC-Bridgestone and a 20th at The Tour Championship also point to him playing better than most over the past couple months. Smith likes this part of the world. The weather won’t negatively affect him at all. I really like Cameron Smith this week.

Byeong Hun An also finished last season in better-than-average form. He made nine straight cuts to finish his season and that includes The U.S. Open, The British Open, and The PGA Championship. The 27-year-old Korean gained 1.2 strokes Tee-to-Green for 2018 and can get white hot with his approach irons and wedges. I’ll be looking for An to get off to a strong start this 2019 season.

Andrew Putnam  (100:1).  This range was pretty tough this week. There are a few names to really like. I eventually fell on Andrew Putnam.

Putnam had a super solid 2018 season and is another player that finished strong. Finished 2nd at the St. Jude Classic, T8 at the Canadian Open, won the Barracuda Championship (I was on him that week), and T16 at the BMW Championship. Really? A 100:1 for the 29-year-old from Pepperdine University? I’ll take it.

Other names to like in this range:  Jason Dufner 100, Ryan Palmer 150, Scott Vincent 150, and Satoshi Kodaira at 200.

 

Listen to this week’s podcast to hear the team’s thoughts on the event and tweet us @fantasygolfww or #fgww.

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