THE OVERVIEW

Jumeriah Golf Estates, Earth Course, Dubai, United Arab Emirates - The Earth Course at Jumeriah Golf Estates is a Greg Norman design that was created specifically for this event. The par-72, 7,675-yard long track can be a beast. It demands accuracy off the tee to avoid the many bunkers strategically placed in the landing areas. Players will be required to hit the ball long and straight and the greens will favor players with higher ball flight. Although the greens will be will not favor anyone when putting as they are well-known for being difficult to read. The finish will also be challenging as the closing 4 holes will punish any errant shots.

Given all of that, it is no surprise that the two names that pop up the most in course history success are Rory McIlroy and Henrik Stenson. We will be looking most closely at course history and recent form when picking players for this one.

 

PAST WINNERS

2017  - 19  Jon Rahm   (Runners Up:  - 18   Kiradech Aphibarnrat, Shane Lowry)

2016  - 17  Matthew Fitzpatrick    (Runner Up:  - 16   Tyrrell Hatton)

2015  - 21  Rory McIlroy   (Runner Up:  - 20   Andy Sullivan)

2014  - 16  Henrik Stenson   (Runners Up:  - 14  Victor Dubuisson, Rory McIlroy, Justin Rose)

2013  - 25  Henrik Stenson   (Runner Up:  - 19  Ian Poulter)

2012  - 23  Rory McIlroy   (Runner Up:  - 21  Justin Rose)

 

BETTING ODDS   (Bovada 11/12/2018)

Rory McIlroy  +1000

Sergio Garcia  +1100

Jon Rahm  +1200

Tommy Fleetwood  +1400

Xander Schauffele  +1400

Francesco Molinari  +1600

Tyrrell Hatton  +1600

Hao Tong Li  +2000

Henrik Stenson  +2000

Patrick Reed  +2000

Thorbjorn Olesen  +2200

Lee Westwood  +2800

Rafa Cabrera Bello  +2800

Shane Lowry  +2800

Alex Noren  +3300

Branden Grace  +3300

Lucas Bjerregaard  +3300

Matthew Fitzpatrick  +3300

Ian Poulter  +4500

Kiradech Aphibarnrat  +4500

Matt Wallace  +4500

Ross Fisher  +4500

Eddie Pepperell  +5000

Martin Kaymer  +5000

Thomas Detry  +5000

Thomas Pieters  +5000

Andy Sullivan  +5500

Joost Luiten  +5500

Dylan Frittelli  +6600

 

HOT PLAYERS

Sergio Garcia

Lee Westwood

Tommy Fleetwood

Hao Tong Li

Lucas Bjerregaard

Andrea Pavan

 

HORSES FOR THE COURSE

Rory McIlroy

Matthew Fitzpatrick

Shane Lowry

Patrick Reed

Tyrrell Hatton

 

LONGER SHOTS

Andrea Pavan  +7000

Danny Willett  +7000

Russell Knox  +7000

Tom Lewis  +7000

Lucas Herbert  +7500

Alexander Bjork  +8000

Ryan Fox  +8000

Jordan Smith  +9000

Mikko Korhonen  +9000

Alexander Levy  +10000

Chris Wood  +10000

Robert Rock  +10000

Adrian Otaegui  +12500

Chris Paisley  +12500

Dean Burmester  +12500

Erik Van Rooyen  +12500

Jorge Campillo  +12500

Sam Horsfield  +12500

Aaron Rai  +15000

Darren Fichardt  +15000

Mike Lorenzo-Vera  +15000

Paul Dunne  +15000

 

FAITHFULS

Sergio Garcia

Tommy Fleetwood

Francesco Molinari

Tyrrell Hatton

Lee Westwood

 

GOLF PICKS

THE 'FORE' SOME

'FORE' SOMES are chosen by selecting one player from a "low tier" betting pool (30:1 or better), two players from a "mid tier" (30:1 - 75:1), and a final player from a "high tier" (75:1 & up).  

KEITH'S 'FORE' SOME 

Tyrrell Hatton  (16:1).  My short list has Tommy Fleetwood, Hao Tong Li, Ty Hatton, and Francesco Molinari. And Ty Hatton wins because he is an absolute beast on this course.   T8 last year. 2nd in 2016. T13, 2015. T6 in 2014. The fiery Englishman has had a good year and especially recently has been finishing strong in stacked fields. His current form, solid history, and overabundance of competitiveness make him a sound pick here. I like it. Give me Hatton at 16:1.

Matt Wallace  (45:1)  &  Thomas Detry  (50:1).  Both Bjerregaard and Pieters were considered for a spot here, but I have to go with Wallace who has had an epic season so far. He has had three tour wins this year and at times has looked vastly superior to other pros around him. Four wins in one season is way too much to ask or expect from any player, but if Wallace were to find a way to do it, it would be a shame not to be on him.

And Thomas Detry is coming off back-to-back outstanding weeks. T3 at the Turkish Airlines Open and solo 7th at last week’s Nedbank. The 25-year-old Belgian has been hit or miss so far throughout his young career, but his game has serious potential. It looks like Detry has recently found something and if he has all of his tools dialed in, he poses a real threat.

Alexander Bjork  (80:1).  I looked at Ryan Fox and Mikko Korhonen, but I have a voice saying that I need to take Bjork here this week. The 28-year-old Swede won the Volvo Open way back in the first half of the season and has netted two second place finishes this year as well. He was quiet for a bit this summer, but made a lot of noise last month at the British Masters where he narrowly missed getting into a playoff. I think Bjork at 80 is excellent in terms of value and I’m happy to take it.

 

Listen to this week’s podcast to hear the team’s thoughts on the event and tweet us @fantasygolfww or #fgww.

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