THE OVERVIEW

Sheshan International Golf Club, Shanghai, China  - Often cited as one of the best golf courses in all of China, Sheshan International Golf Club features big valleys and rolling, tree-lined fairways combined with a bunch of water in play.

This week the course will play as a 7,266-yard par 72 and should be a pure birdie fest with the winning aggregate score less than 20 under.

When selecting players this week, I’ll be looking at current form, course history, Birdie or Better Percentage, SG: Off the Tee, GIR, and SG:Putting.

 

PAST WINNERS

2017  -14   Justin Rose   (Runners Up :    -12   Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Henrik Stenson)

2016   -23   Hideki Matsuyama   (Runners Up:   -16   Daniel Berger, Henrik Stenson)

2015  -20   Russell Knox    (Runner Up:   -18   Kevin Kisner)

2014  -11   Bubba Watson    (Runner Up, Playoff:   Tim Clark)

 

BETTING ODDS   (Bovada 10/23/2018)

Dustin Johnson  +800

Brooks Koepka  +900

Justin Rose  +1000

Rory McIlroy  +1100

Jason Day  +1800

Tommy Fleetwood  +2000

Hideki Matsuyama  +2200

Jon Rahm  +2500

Tony Finau  +2500

Francesco Molinari  +2800

Paul Casey  +3300

Rafa Cabrera Bello  +3500

Tyrrell Hatton  +3500

Alex Noren  +4000

Cameron Smith  +4000

Patrick Cantlay  +4000

Adam Scott +5000

Patrick Reed  +5000

Matthew Fitzpatrick  +5500

Xander Schauffele  +6000

Ian Poulter  +6600

Thorbjorn Olesen  +6600

 

HOT PLAYERS

Brooks Koepka

Justin Rose

Tony Finau

Dustin Johnson

Hideki Matsuyama

Tommy Fleetwood

 

HORSES FOR THE COURSE

Dustin Johnson

Justin Rose

Rory McIlroy

Russell Knox

Henrik Stenson

Ian Poulter

 

LONGER SHOTS

Billy Horschel  +8000

Byeong Hun An  +8000

Eddie Pepperell  +8000

Emiliano Grillo  +8000

Hao Tong Li  +8000

Keegan Bradley  +8000

Kyle Stanley  +8000

Lucas Bjerregaard  +8000

Matt Wallace  +8000

Thomas Pieters  +8000

Branden Grace  +12500

Charley Hoffman  +12500

Adam Hadwin  +15000

Alexander Bjork  +15000

Andy Sullivan  +15000

Brandt Snedeker  +15000

Brian Harman  +15000

C.T. Pan  +15000

Chez Reavie  +15000

Julian Suri  +15000

Kevin Na  +15000

Pat Perez  +15000

 

FAITHFULS

Brooks Koepka

Justin Rose

Tommy Fleetwood

Francesco Molinari

Paul Casey

 

GOLF PICKS

THE 'FORE' SOMES

'FORE' SOMES are chosen by selecting one player from a "low tier" betting pool (30:1 or better), two players from a "mid tier" (30:1 - 75:1), and a final player from a "high tier" (75:1 & up).  

KEITH'S 'FORE' SOME 

Jason Day  (18:1).  Any of the four names ahead of Day can win and any of the six names after him can win. However, I have a good feeling about Jason Day this week in Shanghai. T5 last week and he even missed a couple of approaches. #1 in SG:Putting. Give me Jason Day.

Paul Casey  (33:1)   &  Cameron Smith  (40:1).  Only twelve names to choose from in this range. I also like Adam Scott and Matthew Fitzpatrick, but I like Paul Casey and Cameron Smith more.

Casey has finished no worse than 18th in his last three starts. and he’s played at Sheshan the past three consecutive years, improving in finishes each year. I like where Casey’s game is at and think he might be able to tear this track up this week.

Cameron Smith is just too good not to pick here. It’s been a few years since his 64th place finish in 2015, and he is a totally different player now. Solid play last week in South Korea. He likes Asia and plays well here. His game is nearing top-tier PGA level. I want to be on him when he gets his next big win.

Hao Tong Li  (80:1).  This range is crazy tough to pick this week. So much talent. Kyle Stanley looks good. Matt Wallace looks good. Keegan Bradley looks good. I really want to take Byeong Hun An….but, I’m taking a wild stab at Hao Tong Li.

Even in this field, I’m not sure Hao Tong should be at 80:1. He’s coming off two Euro Tour top ten finishes and you know he wants to show well in China. I dig him. I hope he strikes fire this week. Book it.

 

Listen to this week’s podcast to hear the team’s thoughts on the event and tweet us @fantasygolfww or #fgww.

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